No Country Can be Made Great by Devaluation John Connally, President Nixon’s Secretary of the Treasury, once remarked to the consternation of Europe’s financial elites over America’s inflationary monetary policy, that the dollar “is our currency, but your problem.” Times have certainly changed and it now appears that the dollar has become an American problem. In a recent interview with the Wall Street Journal, the...
Read More »Swiss Real Estate Focus 2017: Vacancy rates rising at the end of the real estate cycle
Zurich, 19 January 2017 – Switzerland’s major cities saw net prime yields for multi-family homes drop to 2.6% in 2016 from an average of 2.8%. This is equivalent to a 6% increase in net present value. These low yields are creating additional incentives for investors to seek out higher returns in less central locations. Yet the number of vacant rental apartments – which has already doubled since 2009 – is likely to...
Read More »Draghi Lets Steam out of Euro
Summary: US reported stronger than expected series of data, including a large drop in weekly jobless claims for the week of the next NFP survey. Draghi remained dovish, with key phrases retained. Euro needs to break $1.0575 now to confirm a top is in place. Markets still uncertain ahead of the start of the new Administration. The combination of stronger US economy data and a dovish Draghi has seen the US...
Read More »FX Daily, January 19: Dollar Gives Back Most of Yellen-Inspired Gains
Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, January 19(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge GBP/CHF GBP/CHF has been range bound in recent weeks but anything but predictable! Of course one of the main, if not the main driver on this rollercoaster is the pound which has been much weaker and stronger according to the sentiments over the Brexit. On the whole the market is predicting the pound will be weaker...
Read More »UBS Chief Investment Office WM publishes real estate market study UBS Real Estate Focus 2017: Vacancy rates rising at the end of the real estate cycle
Zurich, 19 January 2017 – Switzerland’s major cities saw net prime yields for multi-family homes drop to 2.6% in 2016 from an average of 2.8%. This is equivalent to a 6% increase in net present value. These low yields are creating additional incentives for investors to seek out higher returns in less central locations. Yet the number of vacant rental apartments – which has already doubled since 2009 – is likely to...
Read More »Swiss Producer and Import Price Index, December 2016: +0.2 percent MoM, -1.8 percent YoY
The Producer Price Index (PPI) or officially named "Producer and Import Price Index" describes the changes in prices for producers and importers. For us it is interesting because it is used in the formula for the Real Effective Exchange Rate. When producers and importers profit on lower price changes when compared to other countries, then the Swiss Franc reduces its overvaluation. The Swiss PPI values of -6% in 2015...
Read More »Pension Funds Need Gold before It’s Too Late
Tens of millions of Americans and their employers pour money into pension plans each month, counting on those funds to grow and to be there when needed at retirement. But a time bomb awaits. The bulk of U.S. pension funds are dangerously underfunded, and the assets are often invested in securities that have bleak prospects for providing income that keeps up with a general decline in purchasing power. A pension plan...
Read More »Pension Funds Need Gold before It’s Too Late
Tens of millions of Americans and their employers pour money into pension plans each month, counting on those funds to grow and to be there when needed at retirement. But a time bomb awaits. The bulk of U.S. pension funds are dangerously underfunded, and the assets are often invested in securities that have bleak prospects for providing income that keeps up with a general decline in purchasing power. A pension plan...
Read More »Lagarde Urges Wealth Redistribution To Fight Populism
IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde, Italian Finance Minister Pier Carlo Padoan and Founder, Chairman and Co-CIO of Bridgewater Associates, Ray Dalio - Click to enlarge As we scoffed oveernight, who better than a handful of semi, and not so semi, billionaires – perplexed by the populist backlash of the past year – to sit down and discuss among each other how a “squeezed and Angry” middle-class should be fixed. And...
Read More »FX Daily, January 18: Markets Stabilize, Awaiting Fresh Cues
Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, January 18(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge GBP/CHF Yesterday morning Theresa May, the UK Prime Minister set out a clear and realistic plan for the UK’s Brexit, which is likely to begin at the end of March this year. Many had expected to see her give a ‘Hard Brexit’ leaning speech and the Pound had lost value in the lead up to her comments, but when she...
Read More »