Overview: The large bourses in Asia Pacific except Hong Kong eased. Japan and China’s mainland markets are closed for the holiday. Europe’s Stoxx 600 is up about 0.6%. It gapped lower yesterday and has not entered the gap today. US futures are a little softer. The 10-year Treasury nicked the 3%-mark yesterday and is just below there now. European benchmark yields are mostly 1-3 bp higher, but the UK Gilt yield has jumped eight basis points, and Australia’s surged 13...
Read More »The Euro Continues to Stuggle to Sustain Even Modest Upticks, but Specs Still Long in the Futures
Overview: The US dollar begins the new week on a firm note ahead of the mid-week conclusion of the FOMC meeting. Many centers are closed for the May Day holiday, making for thinner market conditions. Equities are mostly lower in the markets that traded today. This includes Japan, South Korea, Australia, and India in the Asia Pacific. In Europe, the Stoxx 600, led by a decline in information technology, industrials, and consumer discretionary sectors, is...
Read More »Did China’s Politburo Throw Markets a Lifeline?
Overview: Speculation that a midday statement by China's Politburo signals new efforts to support the economy ahead of next week's holiday appears to have stirred the animal spirits. The unusual timing of the statement helped spark a rally in Asia-Pacific that lifted most of the large market by more than 1%. Europe's Stoxx 600 has nearly completed the gap created by Monday's sharply lower opening. It is rising for the third consecutive session. US futures are,...
Read More »China’s Covid Sends Commodities Lower and helps the Dollar Extend Gains
Overview: Fears that the Chinese lockdowns to fight Covid, which have extended for four weeks in Shanghai, are not working, and may be extended to Beijing has whacked equity markets, arrested the increase in bond yields, and lifted the dollar. Commodity prices are broadly lower amid concerns over demand. China’s CSI 300 fell 5% today and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng was off more than 3.5%. Most of the major markets in Asia Pacific were off more than 1%. Europe’s Stoxx 600...
Read More »The Yen Bounces after 13-Day Slide and BOJ Defends Yield Cap
Overview: The record-long yen slide has stalled just shy of JPY129.50, even though the Bank of Japan defended its Yield-Curve Control cap on the 10-year bond and will continue to do so for the next four sessions. The greenback fell to almost JPY128 before steadying. China again defied expectations for lower rates (loan prime rate), the yuan’s sell-off accelerated and slide to its lowest level since last October. Chinese and Hong Kong shares fell, but most of the...
Read More »Yen Blues
Overview: Benchmark 10-year bonds yields in the US and Europe are at new highs for the year. The US yield is approaching 2.90%, while European rates are mostly 5-8 bp higher. The 10-year UK Gilt yield is up nine basis points to push near 1.98%. The higher yields are seeing the yen’s losing streak extend, and the greenback has jumped 1% to around JPY128.45 The dollar is trading lower against the other major currencies but the Swiss franc. The dollar-bloc currencies...
Read More »Good Friday
Overview: Most centers are closed for the holidays today. The Asia Pacific equity markets were open and moved lower following the losses on Wall Street yesterday. The weakness of the yen failed to underpin Japanese shares. China disappointed most observers by failing to cut the one-year medium-term lending facility rate (2.85%) and shares slipped. The dollar is mostly higher. It is up for the 11th consecutive session against the Japanese yen. The euro fell to its...
Read More »Short Covering in the US Treasury Market Extends the Yield Pullback
Overview: What appears to be a powerful short-covering rally in the US debt market has helped steady equities and weighed on the dollar. Singapore and South Korea joined New Zealand and Canada in tightening monetary policy. Attention turns to the ECB now on the eve of a long-holiday weekend for many members. The tech-sector led the US equity recovery yesterday, snapping a three-day decline. Most of the major markets in Asia Pacific advanced but Taiwan and India. ...
Read More »New Day, Same as the Old Day
Overview: It is a new day, but with the continued rise in interest rates and weaker equities, it feels like yesterday. Only China and Hong Kong among the major markets in Asia Pacific resisted the pull lower. Europe’s Stoxx 600 is off by more than 0.5% led by health care and real estate. It is the fourth loss in five sessions and brings the benchmark to its lowest level since March 18. US futures are flattish. Yesterday, the NASDAQ fell by more than 2% for the third...
Read More »RBA Drops “patience” to Send the Aussie Higher
Overview: The Reserve Bank of Australia hinted that it was getting closer to a rate hike. The Australian dollar was bid to its best level since the middle of last year. Australian stocks advanced in a mixed regional session while China and Hong Kong markets were closed for the local holiday. BOJ Kuroda called the yen’s recent moves “rapid.” The yen is sidelined today as the dollar weakens against other major currencies, led by the Antipodeans. In addition to the...
Read More »