Overview: Benchmark 10-year bonds yields in the US and Europe are at new highs for the year. The US yield is approaching 2.90%, while European rates are mostly 5-8 bp higher. The 10-year UK Gilt yield is up nine basis points to push near 1.98%. The higher yields are seeing the yen’s losing streak extend, and the greenback has jumped 1% to around JPY128.45 The dollar is trading lower against the other major currencies but the Swiss franc. The dollar-bloc currencies...
Read More »Good Friday
Overview: Most centers are closed for the holidays today. The Asia Pacific equity markets were open and moved lower following the losses on Wall Street yesterday. The weakness of the yen failed to underpin Japanese shares. China disappointed most observers by failing to cut the one-year medium-term lending facility rate (2.85%) and shares slipped. The dollar is mostly higher. It is up for the 11th consecutive session against the Japanese yen. The euro fell to its...
Read More »Short Covering in the US Treasury Market Extends the Yield Pullback
Overview: What appears to be a powerful short-covering rally in the US debt market has helped steady equities and weighed on the dollar. Singapore and South Korea joined New Zealand and Canada in tightening monetary policy. Attention turns to the ECB now on the eve of a long-holiday weekend for many members. The tech-sector led the US equity recovery yesterday, snapping a three-day decline. Most of the major markets in Asia Pacific advanced but Taiwan and India. ...
Read More »New Day, Same as the Old Day
Overview: It is a new day, but with the continued rise in interest rates and weaker equities, it feels like yesterday. Only China and Hong Kong among the major markets in Asia Pacific resisted the pull lower. Europe’s Stoxx 600 is off by more than 0.5% led by health care and real estate. It is the fourth loss in five sessions and brings the benchmark to its lowest level since March 18. US futures are flattish. Yesterday, the NASDAQ fell by more than 2% for the third...
Read More »RBA Drops “patience” to Send the Aussie Higher
Overview: The Reserve Bank of Australia hinted that it was getting closer to a rate hike. The Australian dollar was bid to its best level since the middle of last year. Australian stocks advanced in a mixed regional session while China and Hong Kong markets were closed for the local holiday. BOJ Kuroda called the yen’s recent moves “rapid.” The yen is sidelined today as the dollar weakens against other major currencies, led by the Antipodeans. In addition to the...
Read More »Calmer Markets: Hope Springs Eternal
Overview: Interest rates continue to rise, but equities are looking through it today and the dollar is drawing less succor. Asia Pacific equities were mostly higher. With half of Shanghai in lockdown, Chinese equities were unable to join the regional advance. Europe’s Stoxx 600, led by energy and consumer discretionary sectors, is rising for the third consecutive sessions. US futures have a small upward bias. The US 10-year yield is up a few basis points to 2.50%,...
Read More »Cautious Markets after China Disappoints
Overview: Ukraine’s Mariupol refuses to surrender as the war is turning more brutal according to reports. Iran-backed rebels in Yemen struck half of a dozen sites in Saudi Arabia, driving oil prices higher. China’s prime lending rates were unchanged. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index, which rallied more than 4% last week, traded heavily today though China and Taiwan’s markets managed to post small gains. Tokyo was closed for the spring equinox. Europe’s Stoxx 600 is steady...
Read More »FX Daily, March 17: Investors are Skeptical that the Fed can Achieve a Soft-Landing. Can the BOE do Better?
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.14% to 1.0387 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, March 17(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The markets continue to digest the implications of yesterday’s Fed move and Beijing’s signals of more economic supportive efforts as the Bank of England’s move awaited. The US 5–10-year curve is straddling inversion and the 2-10 curve has flattened as the Fed moves from one horn of the...
Read More »China and Hong Kong Stocks Plummet, Yields Soar
Overview: While the World Health Organization debates about downgrading Covid from a pandemic, the rise China and Hong Kong cases is striking. A lockdown in Shenzhen and restrictions in Shanghai, coupled with a record fine by PBOC officials on Tencent drove local stocks sharply lower. China’s CSI 300 fell 3% and a measure of Chinese stocks that trade in HK plunged more than 7%. The Hang Seng itself dropped 5%. Covid in China and Hong Kong adds to the risk of...
Read More »Risk Assets Given a Reprieve
Overview: US equities failed to sustain early gains yesterday, but risk appetites have returned today. Asia Pacific equities had a poor start, with Chinese and Japanese indices losing ground, but the equity benchmarks in Taiwan, Australia, India, and most of the smaller markets traded higher. Taiwan’s 1.1% gain is notable as foreign investors continued to be heavy sellers. Europe’s Stoxx 600 is snapping a four-day drop with an impressive 3.3% gain, led by the...
Read More »
Swiss Economicblogs.org
