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Tag Archives: China

China’s Economy Shorthand the Largest Asset Bubble in Human History

The term “ghost city” is a loaded one, often deployed to skew toward a particular viewpoint. In the context of China’s economy, it has become shorthand for perhaps the largest asset bubble in human history. While that may ultimately be the case, in truth China’s ghost cities aren’t about the past but its future. There is a great deal that is misunderstood about the country’s path toward urbanization and modernity. A...

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Millennials Can Punt On Bitcoin, Own Gold and Silver For Long Term

Millennials Can Punt On Bitcoin, Own Gold and Silver For Long Term  - Bitcoin volatility shows not currency or safe haven but speculation- Volatility still very high in bitcoin and crypto currencies (see charts)- Bitcoin fell 25% over weekend; Recent high of $3,000 fell to below $1,900- Bitcoin least volatile of cryptos, around 75% annualised volatility- Gold much more stable at just 10% annualised volatility- Bitcoin volatility against USD about 5-7 times vol of traditional...

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UBS darf Privatfonds in China verwalten

UBS Office in Hong Kong UBS Asset Management erhält die Lizenz zur Verwaltung von Privatfonds in China. Damit kann die UBS-Tochtergesellschaft sowohl institutionellen wie vermögenden privaten Anlegern Produkte aus den Bereichen Onshore-Privatfonds, Bonds, Aktien und Multi-Assets anbieten. UBS Asset Management (Shanghai) erhält eine Lizenz zur Verwaltung von Privatfonds in China, so die Grossbank...

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“Time To Position In Gold Is Right Now” – Rickards

“Time To Position In Gold Is Right Now” – Rickards   - "Time to position in gold is right now” - James Rickards- Fed has hit the ‘pause’ button; No more rate hikes for foreseeable future- Fed’s theories "bear no relation to reality" and has "blundered by raising rates"- Growth is weak, inflation is weak, retail sales and real incomes are weak- Tight money, weak economy & stock bubble classic recipe for market crash- Reduce allocations to stocks and reallocate to...

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Silver Analysts Forecast $20 In Bloomberg Silver Price Survey

Silver Analysts Forecast $20 In Bloomberg Silver Price Survey  - Bloomberg silver price survey - Large majority bullish on silver- Silver median "12 month-forecast" of $20- Precious metal analysts see silver "24 percent rally from current levels"- Investors are pouring money into silver ETFs- Speculative funds bearish even as ETF assets rise to record- Spec funds being bearish is bullish as frequently signals bottom- Important to focus not just on silver price but on silver...

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“Wir erwarten für China eine Verlangsamung”

Witold Bahrke, Senior-Stratege bei Nordea Asset Management Witold Bahrke, Senior-Stratege bei Nordea Asset Management, erklärt im Interview, was Anleger hinsichtlich der erwarteten Verlangsamung in China im zweiten Halbjahr bedenken sollten. Der robuste makroökonomische Trend bestätigt die optimistischen Erwartungen. Gleichzeitig erscheint der US-Konjunkturzyklus weit fortgeschritten, während...

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China Imports and Exports: The Ghost Recovery

To the naked eye, it represents progress. China has still an enormous rural population doing subsistence level farming. As the nation grows economically, such a way of life is an inherent drag, an anchor on aggregate efficiency Chinese officials would rather not put up with. Moving a quarter of a billion people into cities in an historically condensed time period calls for radical thinking, and radical doing. In one...

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Competing CPI,PPI, Industrial Production and Retail Sales: No Luck China, Either

Former IMF chief economist Ken Rogoff warned today on CNBC that he was concerned about China. Specifically, he worried that country might “export a recession” to the rest of Asia if not the rest of the world. I’m not sure if he has been paying attention or not, but the Chinese economy since 2012 has been doing just that to varying degrees often just shy of that level. If there’s a country in the world which is really...

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Bond Selloff Returns As EM Fears Rise; Oil Slides; BOJ Does Not Intervene

U.S. index futures point slightly lower open. Asian shares rose while stocks in Europe fell as energy producers got caught in a downdraft in oil prices and reversed an earlier gain after Goldman unexpectedly warned that WTI could slide below $40 absent "show and awe" from OPEC. The dollar rose, hitting a four-month high against the yen and bonds and top emerging market currencies were back under pressure on Tuesday, following last week’s hawkish rhetoric from central bankers. Nonetheless,...

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Ein lehrreicher Boom in China

Orange, blau, gelb: Die Mietvelos können mit dem Handy aufgeschlossen werden. Foto: Jason Lee (Reuters) Wer derzeit eine Grossstadt in China besucht, dem wird eines auffallen: Fahrräder. Sie sind überall. Nein, nicht die alten Drahtesel, die einst das Bild in vielen chinesischen Städten prägten, sondern nagelneue, moderne, farbenfrohe Fahrräder: orange, gelbe, blaue, grüne, silberne Velos. Sie stehen zu Tausenden an Kreuzungen, in Pärken, auf Trottoirs. Studenten kurven auf ihnen durch...

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