Ask people which is the most important structure that keeps the US capital markets humming day after day, and most will likely erroneously say the New York Stock Exchange, which however over the past decade has transformed from its historic role into nothing more than a TV studio for financial cable networks. Some might be closer to the truth and say that the most important building is the true New York Stock Exchange located in Mahwah, New Jersey however that also is not true as the NYSE...
Read More »Bank Of America Reveals “The Next Big Trade”
Markets have stopped focusing on what central banks are doing and are "positioning for what they believe central banks may or may not do," according to BofA's Athanasios Vamvakidis as he tells FX traders to "prepare to fight the central banks," as the market reaction to central bank policies this year reflects transition to a new regime, in which investors start speculating which central bank will have to give up easing policies first. The market has started testing the central banks In...
Read More »Jonathan Wilmot on China, Oil, and the U.S. Elections
Hear what Jonathan Wilmot, Credit Suisse’s Head of Macro Investments, Asset Management, had to say about Donald Trump, China’s new role in the global economy, and the outlook for oil prices at the Credit Suisse 2016 Asian Investment Conference (AIC). For more stories and videos from the AIC, please visit the conference website. The post Jonathan Wilmot on China, Oil, and the U.S. Elections appeared first on The Financialist.
Read More »Futures Jump On Chinese Trade Data; Oil Declines; Global Stocks Turn Green For 2016
With oil losing some of its euphoric oomph overnight, following the API report of a surge in US oil inventories, and a subsequent report that Iran's oil minister would skip the Doha OPEC meeting altogether, the global stock rally needed another catalyst to maintain the levitation. It got that courtesy of the return of USDJPY levitation, which has pushed the pair back above 109, the highest in over a week, as well as a boost in sentiment from the previously reported Chinese trade data where...
Read More »China’s Internet Giants Play Leapfrog in Online Finance
Online sales juggernaut Amazon has a toe in the Internet finance business, processing payments and offering loans to the site’s merchants. What about its Chinese counterpart, Alibaba? It does those things, too. It also facilitates peer-to-peer lending, sells mutual funds and insurance policies, and has formed a private bank to lend to consumers. Who’s leading the Internet revolution now? From a modest start in processing online payments, Alibaba, online media and entertainment firm...
Read More »China: Something has to give
Published: 12th April 2016 Download issue: A trip I took to Hong Kong and Singapore in March proved a useful way to gauge the mood of clients on China’s doorstep. Overall, my meetings with these clients—all entrepreneurs with significant investments in the Middle Kingdom— tended to confirm what other observers have been saying: the Chinese authorities have the resources to ensure the economy attains 6.5%-7% growth this year, and maybe even next year as well, but things may get complicated...
Read More »ZIRP, NIRP, QE, Bank Collapse and Helicopters Coming Too Late – The Lehman Effect Hits Europe – Hard!
It's official, I'm calling a banking crisis in Europe. Things didn't go well the last time I did this. Of course, many will say, "But the rating agencies have learned their collective lessons. They would most assuredely warn us if the European banks are close to going bust, right?!!!". Yeah, right! Reference our past research note on so-called trusted parties in private blockchains for banks. Those interested in purchasing the 22 page report on what is likely the first...
Read More »ZIRP, NIRP, QE, Bank Collapse and Helicopters Coming Too Late – The Lehman Effect Hits Europe – Hard!
It’s official, I’m calling a banking crisis in Europe. Things didn’t go well the last time I did this. Of course, many will say, “But the rating agencies have learned their collective lessons. They would most assuredely warn us if the European banks are close to going bust, right?!!!”. Yeah, right! Reference our past research note on so-called trusted parties in private blockchains for banks. Those interested in purchasing the 22 page report on what is likely the first major bank to fall...
Read More »In the April issue of ‘Perspectives’
Interesting times for China, some scepticism about the recent market rebound, and prospects for private equity investing are some of the themes in the April edition of 'Perspectives', out now in English In the April issue of Perspectives, Christophe Donay, head of macroeconomic research at Pictet, argues that the Chinese fiscal and monetary authorities still have plentiful resources to ensure that China achieves a growth rate of 6.5-7.0% this year and next. But China will sooner or later...
Read More »China’s New Conglomerates
It’s been decades since conglomerates were the toast of American commerce. Many that formed in the 1960s and 70s broke up in the decades that followed, as the trend of diversification gave way to specialization. But in China in 2016, enthusiasm for the conglomerate form is at an all-time high, particularly among Internet companies. Last year, web titans Baidu, Alibaba, and Tencent invested a total of $29 billion in 134 businesses. Alibaba has been the most aggressive of the...
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