Tag Archives: Articles

Virus restrictions across Europe continue to sour sentiment; the dollar is benefiting from the risk-off backdrop The stimulus package is deader than Elvis; Fed manufacturing surveys for October will start to roll out; weekly jobless claims will be reported; Chile is expected to keep rates steady at 0.5% The unofficial deadline for Brexit has likely been extended; the two-day EU summit in Brussels starts today; Israel reports September CPI Australia reported September...

The dollar is making a modest comeback; stimulus talks have hit a dead end; we get more US inflation readings for September Brexit talks continue ahead of the EU summit Thursday and Friday; a new bill by the UK government could change the investment landscape in the country The EU recovery fund has hit some speed bumps; the Netherlands is the latest country to impose stricter measures; eurozone IP came in slightly lower than expected China reported strong money and...

Markets have a bit of a risk-off feel today; the dollar bleeding has been stanched for now; IMF releases its updated World Economic Outlook A stimulus package before the election appears doomed; Fed’s Barkin and Daly speak; a big data week for the US kicks off with September CPI today UK jobs data came in decidedly downbeat even though the furlough scheme has not yet ended; BOE Governor Bailey said that the bank is not yet ready to implement negative rates Japan will...

Dollar losses are accelerating; the virtual IMF/World Bank meetings begin Monday A big stimulus package before the election still seems unlikely; there are a fair amount of Fed speakers during this holiday-shortened week The main data event this week is September retail sales Friday; ahead of that, we get inflation readings for September; Fed manufacturing surveys for October will start to roll out The account of the ECB’s September meeting added a layer of...

The dollar remains heavy; stimulus talks may or may not be dead; the White House is still sending mixed signals This is another quiet day in terms of US data; Canada reports September jobs data We got some more eurozone IP readings for August; following Greece yesterday, it’s Italy’s turn today to register another record low for its 10-year bond yield UK data came in significantly weaker than expected; Japan reported weak August real cash earnings and household...

The US Vice Presidential debate was a comparatively cordial affair, though the impact on the election is likely to be limited; polls continue to move in favor of Biden, including in swing states The weak dollar narrative under a Democratic sweep continues to play out; the outlook for fiscal stimulus is as cloudy as ever; FOMC minutes contained no big surprises Weekly jobless claims will be reported; like last week, there will be a quirk to this week’s initial claims;...

The dollar remains under pressure; the US curve continues to steepen; a compromise on fiscal stimulus before the election still seems unlikely; this is another quiet day in terms of US data President Lagarde said the ECB is prepared to inject fresh monetary stimulus to support the recovery; we expect the ECB to increase its PEPP in Q4 German factory orders came in much stronger than expected; Russia reports September CPI RBA delivered a dovish hold; the Australian...

The US political outlook has been upended by recent developments; lack of a significant safe haven bid for the dollar so far is telling This is a very quiet week in terms of US data; FOMC minutes will be released Wednesday; there is a full slate of Fed speakers The eurozone has a fairly heavy data week; Brexit talks continue in London; UK has a heavy data week Japan has a fairly heavy data week; RBA meets Tuesday and is expected to keep policy unchanged; that same...

The dollar remains under pressure as market sentiment continue to improve; stimulus talks were extended Two major US airlines announced significant job furloughs starting today; US data for September will continue  to roll out; weekly jobless claims will be reported The pound is underperforming as the flurry of optimism in the recent negotiations fades; final eurozone September manufacturing PMI was steady at 53.7 Bank of Japan quarterly Tankan report came in weaker...

The dollar continues to soften as risk-off sentiment ebbs; the first presidential debate will take place tonight House Democrats have staked out their latest position at $2.2 trln; there is a fair amount of US data out today; Brazil has come under renewed pressure from fiscal concerns The pound continues to outperform as comments from the latest Brexit talks remain skewed to the positive side; latest eurozone CPI and retail sales readings have started coming out...