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Tag Archives: Amazon

As the Fed Pumps, the Stock Market Is Increasingly the Only Game in Town

While the economic storm caused by COVID-19 has seemed to wane (temporarily?), the stock market can’t seem to go but one direction—up. Graham and Dodd’s meaty 700-page Security Analysis has soared to number 7695 on the Amazon best-seller list. According to Warren Buffett, the book is “A road map for investing that I have now been following for 57 years.” One wonders what roadmap the young people who saw the pandemic March meltdown as an opportunity to buy slices of...

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Retail Sales’ Amazon Pick Up

The rules of interpretation that apply to the payroll reports also apply to other data series like retail sales. The monthly changes tend to be noisy. Even during the best of times there might be a month way off trend. On the other end, during the worst of times there will be the stray good month. What matters is the balance continuing in each direction – more of the good vs. more of the bad. Or when what seems to be a good month is less good than it used to be....

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Ungebremste Machtzunahme

Der Apfel glänzt platinfarben: Ein Ende des Höhenflugs der grossen Tech-Unternehmen ist nicht abzusehen. Foto: Bodo Marks Auf mehr als eine Billion Dollar – 1’000’000’000’000 Dollar – ist letzte Woche der Börsenwert des Unternehmens Apple angestiegen. Diese Summe ist um rund die Hälfte grösser als die Gesamtleistung der Schweizer Volkswirtschaft im letzten Jahr (das Bruttoinlandprodukt für 2017 wird auf 680 Milliarden Dollar geschätzt). Die Entwicklung zu solchen Werten ist wie diejenige...

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Government defends Swiss Post-Amazon deal

Making its way to a Swiss home near you: an Amazon package The government has defended the deal struck that will see Swiss Post delivering packages for retail giant Amazon. There is no question of preferential treatment, it said. The response by the government came in response to a parliamentary question raised by politician Olivier Feller (Liberal-Radical), querying the deal that will see Swiss Post delivering Amazon...

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Less Retail Jobs, More Amazon Robots: Get Used To It

When it comes to job creation in the United States, President Trump will be displeased to hear the latest findings from Quartz: 170,000 fewer retail jobs in 2017 – and 75,000 more Amazon robots.  In November, we explained that while everyone likes to point the finger at Amazon, America’s retail apocalypse can’t be tied to just one catalyst (see: A Look At America’s Retail Apocalypse In Charts), however, fierce...

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Global Asset Allocation Update

The risk budget this month shifts slightly as we add cash to the portfolio. For the moderate risk investor the allocation to bonds is unchanged at 50%, risk assets are reduced to 45% and cash is raised to 5%. The changes this month are modest and may prove temporary but I felt a move to reduce risk was prudent given signs of exuberance – rational, irrational or otherwise. Moderate Allocation - Click to enlarge   No...

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Hedge funds: US value strikes back?

Macroview Growth vs. value has been an important theme in long/short hedge fund portfolios--and a recent source of pain for some and profit for others owing to trend reversals this year. Amid slowing growth worldwide, growth stocks have outperformed value both in the US and Europe in the past decade and have been a profitable bet in long/short managers' books. There are some inherent differences in what value stocks represent in the two regions. Looking at the composition of the MSCI US...

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US Tech: The Thrill Isn’t Gone

After six disappointing quarters in a row for Google and persistent doubts about when and if Amazon will generate steady profits, many investors have recently started to wonder how long double-digit revenue growth can continue, and whether growth on the bottom line will ever be as impressive as that on the top line, according to Uwe Neumann, a senior technology analyst in Credit Suisse’s Private Banking & Wealth Management Division. In other words, can Internet platform companies such as...

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