Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.03% at 1.1135 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, July 10(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The US Treasury market is retreating for the fourth consecutive session ahead of Fed Chairman Powell’s testimony before Congress. It is the longest losing streak in six months, and the 10-year yield has risen 15 bp over the run. This is...
Read More »FX Daily, July 9: No Turn Around Tuesday, as Equities Extend Losses and the Greenback Remains Firm
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.13% at 1.1128 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, July 09(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Global equity benchmarks are headed for their third consecutive loss today as caution prevails at the start of Q3 after a strong first half. Ten-year benchmark yields are edging higher after a soft start in Asia. Italian bonds continue to...
Read More »FX Daily, July 8: Macro Monday
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.05% at 1.1135 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, July 08(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The capital markets have begun the week in a mixed note. Asia Pacific equities tumbled, led by 2%+ losses in China and South Korea, but European shares are edging higher, and a positive close would be the seventh in the past eight...
Read More »FX Weekly Preview: In Bizzaro Beauty Contest, the US is Still the Least Ugly
Our hypothesis that the market had reached peak dovishness toward the Fed remains intact after the employment data. Job growth was the strongest since January. The participation rate and the unemployment rate ticked up. Average hourly earnings edged 0.2% higher, and, with revisions, maintained a 3.1% year-over-year pace, which is a bit disappointing. United States The jobs report trumps the PMI/ISM data and suggests...
Read More »FX Daily, July 05: Dollar is Bid Ahead of Jobs Report
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.10% at 1.1126 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, July 05(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The dovish response to news that Lagarde was nominated to replace Draghi was extended by the dismal German factory order report that has pushed the euro to new two-week lows and kept bond yields near record lows. The focus ahead of the...
Read More »FX Daily, July 03: Yields Extend Decline
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.05% at 1.112 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, July 03(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Interest rates are lurching lower. The US 10-year yield is at new two-year lows, but the driver is European bonds where peripheral yields are 6-7 bp lower, though Italy’s benchmark is off 12 bp, while core yields are down 2-3 bp to new...
Read More »FX Daily, July 2: Post-G20 Euphoria Fades, Stuck with Same Reality
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.17% at 1.1162 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, July 02(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The euphoria that greeted the resumption of US-China and US-North Korea talks has subsided. Global equities have turned mixed after yesterday’s surge. Hong Kong played catch-up, and despite ongoing demonstrations, the Hang Seng rallied over...
Read More »FX Daily, July 01: Trade Optimism Meet Reality of Disappointing PMI
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.52% at 1.1155 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, July 01(see more posts on EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: A new tariff truce between the US and China, coupled with the North Korean diplomacy and Russia-Saudi tentative agreement boosted investor confidence and sharp equity rallies. Japanese and Chinese equities rallied 2-3%. Most markets...
Read More »FX Weekly Preview: Macro Update: Melodrama Subsides but Capriciousness Remains
Since President Trump declared the end of the tariff truce with China in early May, an important focus for investors was the G20 meeting. It was only as it drew near was a meeting between the two heads of state confirmed. What was billed as an extraordinary meeting reportedly lasted less than 90 minutes, and the results were broadly as expected. The press quotes US officials confirming that the talks are “back on track”...
Read More »FX Daily, June 28: The World may Look Different Come Monday
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.05% at 1.1106 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, June 28(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Quarter-end positioning seems to dominate today’s activity. The outcome of bilateral talks at the G20 gathering partly reflects the influence of the US President who eschews multilateral efforts as a hindrance to its sovereignty. Equities...
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