Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.30% at 1.1115 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, June 21(see more posts on EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The global capital markets are trading quietly ahead of the weekend. Equity markets are mostly narrowly mixed. Chinese shares extended their run, and the major benchmarks were up 4%+ on the week. Japan, Australia, South Korea, and...
Read More »FX Daily, June 20: Doves Rules the Roost Except in Oslo
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.48% at 1.1104 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, June 20(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The prospect of “lower for longer” continues to fuel the bond and stock rally. The initial US equity response to the Fed was positive but not strong and closed about 0.3% higher. Asia Pacific equities followed suit with mostly modest...
Read More »FX Daily, June 19: Still Patient?
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.21% at 1.1169 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, June 19(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Risk-taking was bolstered by the dramatic shift in Draghi’s rhetoric less than two weeks after the ECB meeting and a Trump’s tweet announcing that there was going to be an “extended” meeting between him and Xi at the G20 meeting and that...
Read More »FX Daily, June 18: Draghi Ends Calm Ahead of FOMC, Sending the Euro and Yields Down
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.08% at 1.1196 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, June 18(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: ECB President Draghi underscoring the likely need for more stimulus broke the subdued tone as market participants took a “wait and see” stance ahead of tomorrow’s FOMC decision. Draghi’s comments sent the euro through $1.12 for the first...
Read More »FX Daily, June 17: Quiet Start to Big Week
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.09% at 1.1209 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, June 17(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The global capital markets are off to a subdued start to what promises to be a busy week, featuring the FOMC, BOE, BOJ meetings, and the flash June PMIs. Investors also expect some signal whether Presidents Trump and Xi will at the G20...
Read More »FX Weekly Preview: FOMC, EMU PMI, and Pre-G20 Positioning: Crossroads and Crosswinds
The week ahead is likely to provide some clarification for investors on three fronts that have been a source of uncertainty. The FOMC meeting, with updated forecasts, is center stage. The credit markets are pushing the Fed to be aggressive but can be disappointed. In the eurozone, the preliminary PMI may confirm a modest, even if uneven recovery. The G20 summit is the focus of much attention as many see it as the last...
Read More »FX Daily, June 14: Waning Risk Appetite Going into the Weekend
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.02% at 1.1201 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, June 14(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Worries about an escalation in the Gulf following US accusations that Iran was behind yesterday’s two attacks and weaker growth impulses, while trade tensions remain high, are dampening risk appetites ahead of the weekend. Equities are...
Read More »FX Daily, June 13: Financial Statecraft or Whack-a-Mole
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.32% at 1.1199 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, June 13(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: After roiling the markets by threatening escalating tariffs on Mexico, US President Trump has threatened China that if Xi does not meet him and return to the positions that the US claims it had previously, he will through on imposing...
Read More »Great Graphic: Euro’s (OECD) PPP
US President Trump recently bemoaned the fact that the euro is undervalued. While his critics complain that he is prone to exaggeration, in this case, the euro is undervalued. This Great Graphic a 30-year chart of the euro has moved around its purchasing power parity as measured by the OECD. Currently, the euro is about 22% undervalued, and it has been cheap to PPP since for the past five years. The OECD’s model...
Read More »FX Daily, June 12: Anxiety Ticks Up, Risks Pared
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.08% at 1.125 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, June 12(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The S&P 500 snapped a five-day advance yesterday and set the heavier tone for equities today. Continued protests in Hong Kong were not shrugged off as they have been in the last couple of sessions. The Hang Seng’s nearly 1.9% decline was...
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