Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.18% at 1.1178 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, June 06(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The implications of President Trump’s assessment that there has not been “nearly enough” progress in negotiations with Mexico that would avert the tariff on June 10 competing for investors’ attention, which had been squarely today’s ECB...
Read More »FX Daily, June 05: Dollar Remains on Back Foot
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.09% at 1.115 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, June 05(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The Federal Reserve’s patience never excluded a rate cut should conditions warrant. The acknowledgment of this without signaling a change its stance is being seized upon to justify aggressive pricing of rates. At the same time, there has...
Read More »FX Daily, June 04: Nervous Calm Settles Over Markets
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.13% at 1.117 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, June 04(see more posts on EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The global capital markets are stabilizing today after taking a body blow of broadening the use of US tariffs (in migration dispute with Mexico), threatening the ratification of NAFTA 2.0, and still escalating hostile rhetoric between...
Read More »FX Daily, June 03: US Penchant for Tariffs Keeps Investors on Edge
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.04% at 1.1181 . FX Rates Overview: The weekend failed to break the grip of investor worries that is driving stocks and yields lower. The US Administration’s penchant for tariffs is not simply aimed at China, where there is some sympathy, but the move against Mexico, dropping special privileges for India, and apparently, had considered tariffs on Australia. At the same time, the...
Read More »FX Weekly Preview: Curiouser and Curiouser
The first week of June features the Reserve Bank of Australia meeting, an ECB meeting, and the US employment data. The RBA is expected to deliver its first rate cut in three years. The market appears to have discounted not only a second cut in H2 but has priced nearly half of a third cut as well. A soft inflation reading after the seasonal bump in April and disappointing survey data, with Brexit and trade tensions,...
Read More »FX Daily, May 31: US Struggles to Build Physical Wall, Tries Tariff Wall on Mexico
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.01% at 1.1214 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, May 31(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The US announcement to lay a 5% tariff on all goods coming from Mexico (starting June 10) until it stops the flow of “illegal migrants” spurred sharp losses in the Mexican peso and general risk-off move that strengthened the yen. The...
Read More »Canada, Mexico, and the USMCA
The US dollar closed today above CAD1.3500 for the first time since January 2. Despite the setback, the Canadian dollar is the strongest of the major currencies year-to-date with a little less than a one percent gain. The yen, in second, has is up about 0.2% (~JPY109.50). Among emerging market currencies, the Mexican peso’s 2.6% gain puts it in in second place behind the Russian rouble’s 7.2% appreciation. It is a...
Read More »FX Daily, May 30: Kill Bull: Intermission
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.03% at 1.1215 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, May 30(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: After significant moves in equities and interest rates, investors are taking a collective breath, waiting for fresh developments. A nervous calm has settled over the capital market. China, Japan, and Australian equities leaked lower, but...
Read More »FX Daily, May 29: Equity Slump Deepens while Yields Plunge
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.20% at 1.1222 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, May 29(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The slump in equities continues after the poor showing in the US yesterday. Nearly all bourses in Asia Pacific and Europe are lower. Indonesia is the notable exception as domestic operators re-position after the election. Foreign investors...
Read More »FX Daily, May 28: Risk Appetites Curbed, US Leadership Awaited in FX
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.20% at 1.1259 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, May 28(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The euro initially reacted positively to the EU Parliament elections. The populists did not do quite as well as many expected. The two main groupings failed to secure a majority, but with the help of the Liberals, and possibly the Greens,...
Read More »