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Home / SNB News / WP – 2024-08-07 – Gabriel Züllig and Valentin Grob: Corporate leverage and the effects of monetary policy on investment: a reconciliation of micro and macro elasticities

WP – 2024-08-07 – Gabriel Züllig and Valentin Grob: Corporate leverage and the effects of monetary policy on investment: a reconciliation of micro and macro elasticities

Summary:
We investigate how the level of corporate leverage affects firms' investment response to monetary policy shocks. Based on novel aggregate time series estimates, leverage acts amplifying, whereas in the cross section of firms, higher leverage predicts a muted response to monetary policy. We use a heterogeneous firm model to show that in general equilibrium, both empirical findings can be true at the same time: When the average firm has lower leverage and therefore reduces its investment demand more strongly after a contractionary shock, the price of capital declines sharply, which incentivizes all firms regardless of their leverage to invest relatively more, muting the aggregate decline of investment. We provide empirical evidence supporting this hypothesis. Overall, if there

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We investigate how the level of corporate leverage affects firms' investment response to monetary policy shocks. Based on novel aggregate time series estimates, leverage acts amplifying, whereas in the cross section of firms, higher leverage predicts a muted response to monetary policy. We use a heterogeneous firm model to show that in general equilibrium, both empirical findings can be true at the same time: When the average firm has lower leverage and therefore reduces its investment demand more strongly after a contractionary shock, the price of capital declines sharply, which incentivizes all firms regardless of their leverage to invest relatively more, muting the aggregate decline of investment. We provide empirical evidence supporting this hypothesis. Overall, if there are general equilibrium adjustments to shocks, effects estimated by exploiting cross-sectional heterogeneity in micro data can differ substantially from the macroeconomic elasticities, in our example even in terms of their sign.

Swiss National Bank
The Swiss National Bank conducts the country’s monetary policy as an independent central bank. It is obliged by the Constitution and by statute to act in accordance with the interests of the country as a whole. Its primary goal is to ensure price stability, while taking due account of economic developments. In so doing, it creates an appropriate environment for economic growth.

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