From a low point of less than $30 per barrel in mid-February, oil prices had risen to over $40 by mid-March. If maintained, this rise will have an obvious impact on growth and inflation on both sides of the Atlantic. The use of a sophisticated macro-econometric model provides an insight into just how large the impact might be. Although oil prices have risen, the huge accumulation of oil stocks as a result of overproduction should serve as a brake on oil prices this year and next....
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