Tag Archives: 4) FX Trends

USD/CHF takes the bids near 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of April-August downpour. 200-day EMA, four-month-old falling trend-line acts as key upside resistance. Despite breaking 50-day exponential moving average (EMA), USD/CHF remains below key resistance confluence as it takes rounds to 0.9880 during Friday’s Asian session. The pair needs to provide a daily closing beyond 0.9890/95 region including 100-day EMA and four-month-old descending trend-line in order...

Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.14% to 1.0887 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, August 29(see more posts on EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The capital markets are calm today, though there does seem to be some optimism creeping back into the market. The Chinese yuan strengthened, snapping a ten-day slide and Italian bank shares index has risen by more than 1% for the fourth consecutive session. The safe-haven yen and...

USD/CHF again confronts 50-DMA while seeking a downward resistance-line since August 01. 23.6% of Fibonacci retracement can offer immediate support. Swiss ZEW Survey – Expectations in the spotlight. Sustained trading beyond 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of April-August declines enables USD/CHF to near the 50-day simple moving average (DMA) while taking the bids to 0.9820 during Wednesday’s Asian session. With the 12-bar moving average convergence and divergence...

The USD/CHF pair struggled to sustain above 61.8% Fibo. level of the 0.9879-0.9714 recent slump and seems to have stalled this week’s recovery move from the 0.9700 neighbourhood. The intraday downtick remained cushioned near the 0.9800 handle, which coincides with 100/200-hour SMA confluence region and should act as a key pivotal point for intraday traders. Meanwhile, neutral technical indicators on hourly/daily charts haven’t been supportive of any firm near-term...

Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen to 1.0872 or by 0.09%. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, August 28(see more posts on EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The capital markets have turned quiet. There have been no more headline bombs about trade, and China set the dollar’s reference rate much lower than projected. Asia Pacific equities were mixed. Hong Kong, China, India, and Singapore were on the downside, while Taiwan,...

Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.44% to 1.0912 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, August 27(see more posts on EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Hope triumphed over realism yesterday, and realism is fighting back toward. Asia Pacific markets, however, traded on the echo from the recovery in North America on Monday. The MSCI Asia Pacific recouped part of yesterday’s drop, led by Chinese markets. Hong Kong was the main...

Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.11% to 1.0873 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, August 26(see more posts on EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The anticipated growth implications of the heightened tensions between the world’s two largest economies is dominating activity at the start of the new week. These considerations that drove the 2.6% drop in the S&P 500 before the weekend is carrying over into today’s...

It’s the last week of August. Several economic reports will be released in the coming days. They include the US deflator of consumer expenditures that the Federal Reserve targets, China’s PMI, and the eurozone’s preliminary August CPI. It is not that the data do not matter, but investors realize the die is cast. They are looking further afield. The next US tax increase on Chinese imports goes into effect on September 1, and Beijing has threatened to retaliate. The...

Risk reversals on Swiss Franc (CHF1MRR), a gauge of calls to puts, dropped to the lowest level in 17-months, indicating the investors are adding bets to position for a rise in the Swiss currency. The USD/CHF one-month 25 delta risk reversals fell to -1.41 – a level last seen in March 2018. The negative number indicates the implied volatility premium or demand for CHF calls (bullish bets) is higher than that for CHF puts (bearish bets). Notably, the gauge stood at...

A Bloomberg article about the weekend G7 meeting says, “multilateralism is dead.”  An op-ed in the Financial Times suggests that the most important political alliance may be “rejuvenated” at the G7 meeting.  The truth is likely found somewhere in between.  Economic nationalism, personalities of (some) of the leaders are not conducive to deepening or broadening cooperation among the leading market economies.  At the same time, the G7 is an expression of...