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SNB & CHF

Swiss Consumer Sentiment Falls Almost back to its Average

Consumer sentiment in Switzerland has almost dropped back to its long-term average. While consumers still expect a positive economic development, they are less optimis-tic than in recent quarters. Consumers’ expectations regarding their own budget also remain subdued, while they adjusted their assessment of inflation upwards. Corre-spondingly, the likelihood of consumers making major purchases remains low. Switzerland...

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Swiss Retail Sales, June: +1.1 percent Nominal and +0.3 percent Real

Neuchâtel, 2 August 2018 (FSO) – Turnover in the retail sector rose by 1.1% in nominal terms in June 2018 compared with the previous year. Seasonally adjusted, nominal turnover rose by 0.6% compared with the previous month. These are provisional findings from the Federal Statistical Office (FSO). Real turnover in the retail sector also adjusted for sales days and holidays rose by 0.3% in June 2018 compared with the...

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Global Asset Allocation Update

The risk budget is unchanged again this month. For the moderate risk investor, the allocation between bonds and risk assets is evenly split. The only change to the portfolio is the one I wrote about last week, an exchange of TIP for SHY. Interest rates are on the rise again, the 10 year Treasury yield punching through 3% again this morning. That is an indication that growth and/or inflation expectations have risen...

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Beaver attack!

Wild animals like bears, wolves and beavers are protected by law and cannot, as a rule, be hunted. But now Parliament wants to amend the Hunting Act and loosen the restrictions, especially if the animals concerned cause damage. Swiss public television, SRF saw how animals and people can get in each other's way. (SRF/swissinfo.ch) --- swissinfo.ch is the international branch of the Swiss Broadcasting Corporation (SBC). Its role is to report on Switzerland and to provide a Swiss perspective on...

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The Swiss El Dorado for drones

Switzerland is reaching for the stars when it comes to drones and is aiming to become a hub for the drone industry. The Swiss drone industry's focus is not on gadget-lovers who use drones for fun, but on more sophisticated applications, from landscape surveys to a light show in a concert hall. (SRF/swissinfo.ch) --- swissinfo.ch is the international branch of the Swiss Broadcasting Corporation (SBC). Its role is to report on Switzerland and to provide a Swiss perspective on international...

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Switzerland’s young socialists restart the debate on first class train seats

Recently, members of the young socialists raised the debate of the social inequalities associated with two ticket classes again while on trains travelling between Fribourg and Bern. ©-Justforever-_-Dreamstime.com_ - Click to enlarge They complain that at periods of peak demand second class carriages are overflowing, while first class ones often have space and spare seats. Yvan Rime, co-president of the young socialists...

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Revising our euro area 2018 GDP growth forecast down

The cut to our growth forecast reflects slippage in euro area data. According to Eurostat’s preliminary flash estimate, euro area real GDP expanded by 0.3% q-o-q in Q2 2018 (0.346% q-o-q unrounded, 1.4% q-o-q annualised, 2.1% y-o-y), below consensus expectations (0.4%). This was the weakest growth in two years and comes after a GDP growth of 0.4% q-o-q in Q1. The carryover effect for 2018 reached 1.7 %, meaning that...

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FX Daily, August 01: Trade and Japan Drive Markets Ahead of Stand Pat Fed

Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.11% to 1.1588 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, August 01(see more posts on EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Investors recognize the risks to growth posed by the tariffs and counter-tariffs being imposed, but the way the US is going about it is also disconcerting. Within a few hours of signals that the US and China were looking to re-engage...

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Russia Sells 80 percent Of Its US Treasuries

Description: In just over 2 months Russia has sold-off over 85% of its holdings of U.S. Treasuries, should the U.S. be concerned? – Russia has liquidated 85% of its US Treasury holdings in just two months – Russia dumps over $90 billion of Treasuries in April and May as holdings collapse from near $100 billion to just $9 billion – Deepening geo-political tensions between Russia and U.S. and Russian concerns about the...

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Tensions Beyond Trade

Chinese officials do not seem to appreciate the extent of its isolation. The disruption from the US as Trump positions the US as a revisionist power-one that wants to alter the world order, which it was instrumental in constructing, may have obscured the fact that China’s practices are a source of frustration and animosity broadly and widely. Chinese officials do not seem to understand why Europe, for example, does not...

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