Our model suggests that the Italian government’s strategy for the bad debt problems of the country's banks only will only be credible if economic growth returns Changes in banks’ Non-Performing Loans (NPLs) depend crucially on economic performance, including GDP growth and employment. Put simply, the Italian government’s strategy, or hope, is that even a modest economic recovery leads to a sustained, albeit gradual decline in NPLs and that systemic bank bailouts can be avoided. Moreover,...
Read More »