In the latest report from ADM ISI’s strategy team, “Dollar Liquidity Threat is Getting Critical and Fed is M.I.A.”, Paul Mylchreest argues that mainstream economic luminaries (like Carmen Reinhart) are finally acknowledging the evolving crisis due to the dollar shortage outside the US, a topic which even the head researcher at the BIS shone a spotlight on yesterday suggesting that the strength of the dollar, not the VIX...
Read More »FX Daily, November 16: The Greenback Remains Resilient
Swiss Franc The Swissie has remained very strong against a much weaker pound but the outlook is still very shaky. The principal reason for the changes are of course the election of Donald Trump which has sent some big ripples through financial markets. The Swiss Franc did strengthen significantly as we saw uncertainty ahead of the election but following the result it was more the pound making headway with some big...
Read More »Gold – Eerie Pattern Repetition Revisited
Gold Continues to Mimic the 1970s Ask and ye shall receive… we promised we would update the comparison chart we last showed in late November in an article that kind of insinuated that it might be a good time to buy gold and gold stocks (see: “Gold and Gold Stocks – It Gets Even More Interesting” for the details). We are hereby delivering on that promise. A Lydian gold stater from the time of the famously rich King...
Read More »Gold Price Skyrockets in India after Currency Ban – Part II
India’s prime minister Nahendra Modi, author of the recent overnight currency ban Photo credit: indiatimes.com - Click to enlarge Chaos in the Wake of the Ban Here is a link to Part 1, about what happened in the first two days after India’s government made Rs 500 (~$7.50) and Rs 1,000 (~$15) banknotes illegal. They can now only be converted to Rs 100 (~$1.50) or lower denomination notes, at bank branches...
Read More »Inflation Expectations Rise Sharply
Mini-Panic Over Inflation After Trump’s Election Victory We have witnessed truly astonishing short term market conniptions following the Donald Trump’s election victory. In this post we want to focus on one aspect that seems to be exercising people quite a bit at present, namely the recent surge in inflation expectations reflected in the markets. Will we have to get those WIN buttons out again? A 1970s “whip...
Read More »The Source of Trump’s Success: The Bigger and Bigger Wage Gap
There are many sources of rage: injustice, the destruction of truth, powerlessness. But if we had to identify the one key source of non-elite rage that cuts across all age, ethnicity, gender and regional boundaries, it is this: The Ruling Elite is protected from the destructive consequences of its predatory dominance. We see this reality across the entire political, social and economic landscape. If I had to pick one...
Read More »FX Daily, November 15: Investors Catch Breath, Markets Consolidate
Comment on GBP and CHF by James Lovick My articles About meMy booksFollow on:LinkedIN Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, November 15(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). - Click to enlarge The pound took substantial losses against the Swiss Franc and every major currency this morning before recovering in afternoon trade. The leaked government report this morning caused sterling to fall by over 1% against...
Read More »Those with less are worth more in Schwyz than Geneva
Freienbach in Schwyz source_wikipedia_Roland zh - Click to enlarge Last Friday, the federal Swiss tax office published the latest statistics covering the wealth and earnings of the nation’s more than 5 million tax payers – Switzerland has wealth tax, so net worth is included in tax returns. The highest percentage of the very wealthiest (CHF 10 million plus) lived in Schwyz. Geneva also made the top five cantons in...
Read More »Great Graphic: Euro-the Big Picture
Introduction by George Dorgan My articles About meMy booksFollow on:TwitterFacebookGoogle +YoutubeSeeking AlphaCFA SocietyLinkedINEconomicBlogs Summary: Most economists are focusing on either US monetary policy or US fiscal policy. We focus on the policy mix. After the policy mix, politics is also a weigh on the euro. Our long-term call is for the euro to revisit the lows from 2000. The euro has...
Read More »The Fed’s “Hothouse” Is in Danger
$8 Trillion Transfer RHINEBECK, New York – It is a beautiful autumnal day here in upstate New York. The trees are red, brown, and yellow. Squirrels hop across the lawn, collecting their nuts. Unseasonably warm the last few days, rain showers are moving in from across the Hudson, driven by a chilly wind. But today, we talk about money. After all, that’s our beat here at the Diary. Money. Money. Money. We’ve seen how...
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