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Tag Archives: Euro

Europas riesiger Schatz an US-Schuldtiteln

Die Eurozone ist einer der wichtigsten Gläubiger der USA. Sind diese dadurch politisch erpressbar? Irland ist der grösste US-Gläubiger in Europa, gefolgt von Luxemburg und Belgien. Foto: slon_dot_pics (Pexels) Der Handelsstreit zwischen den USA und China ist erst einmal entschärft. Beide Nationen unterzeichneten ein «Phase 1»-Abkommen. Nun rückt das Verhältnis zwischen den USA und der EU in den Fokus. Streitpunkte gibt es auch hier genügend: Donald Trump stösst sich an...

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Lagarde Channels Past Self As To Japan Going Global

As France’s Finance Minister, Christine Lagarde objected strenuously to Ben Bernanke’s second act. Hinted at in August 2010, QE2 was finally unleashed in November to global condemnation. Where “trade wars” fill media pages today, “currency wars” did back then. The Americans were undertaking beggar-thy-neighbor policies to unfairly weaken the dollar. The neighbor everyone though most likely to be sponged off of was Europe. The day after the Fed’s second launch,...

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European Economy: A Time Recession

Eurostat confirmed earlier today that Europe has so far avoided recession. At least, it hasn’t experienced what Economists call a cyclical peak. During the third quarter of 2019, Real GDP expanded by a thoroughly unimpressive +0.235% (Q/Q). This was a slight acceleration from a revised +0.185% the quarter before. The real question, though, is whether the business cycle approach means anything in this day and age. I don’t think it does, and that’s a big part of why...

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Die Kritik an der EZB greift zu kurz

Er steht vor seinem Abgang unter Kritik: EZB-Chef Mario Draghi. Foto: Keystone Eine Reihe von renommierten Ökonomen kritisieren erneut scharf die Geldpolitik der Europäischen Zentralbank mit Negativzinsen und Anlagekäufen unter dem abtretenden Mario Draghi. Die Nachrichtenagentur Bloomberg hat den Text in voller Länge publiziert.  Die meisten von ihnen haben im ersten Jahrzehnt nach der Gründung der Europäischen Zentralbank (EZB) einflussreiche Ränge bei dieser bekleidet. Mit den beiden...

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Cool Video: Thoughts on ECB

A few hours after the ECB announced a new package of monetary accommodation, I joined a discussion on CNBC Asia with Nancy Hungerford and Sir Jegarajah. Here is a clip of part of our discussion.  I make two points. The first is about the euro’s price action. What impressed me about it was that the euro posted an outside up day, trading on both sides of the previous day’s range and closing above its high. When Sri and I were talking early in the Asian morning, there...

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Some Brief European Leftovers

Some further odds and ends of European data. Beginning with Continent-wide Industrial Production. Germany is leading the system lower, but it’s not all just Germany. And though manufacturing and trade are thought of as secondary issues in today’s services economies, the GDP estimates appear to confirm trade in goods as still an important condition and setting for all the rest. The weakness is persisting and intensifying – particularly after May 2019. Europe...

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20 Jahre Euro — live auf Youtube

Urs Birchler Bei der Banque de France findet heute und morgen eine SUERF-Konferenz zum zwanzigsten Jarestag der Einführung des Euro statt. Die Konferenz wird live auf Youtube übertragen. Auf der Rednerliste die erste Garde: Heute, Do 28. März, ab 13:40 (Youtube): Christine Lagarde, Managing Director, International Monetary Fund (IMF) François Villeroy de Galhau, Governor, Banque de France Laurence Boone, Chief economist, Organisation of Economic Cooperation & Development (OECD) Agustin...

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Euro slides against the dollar on ECB dovishness

The euro has declined further against the dollar but should strengthen over next 12 months The euro fell to a 20-month low against the US dollar following the European Central Bank’s (ECB) March policy meeting, given the revised forward guidance that suggests that the interest rate differential is unlikely to provide much upside to the euro in the next few months. That being said, recent euro area PMI surveys tend to...

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Euro slides against the dollar on ECB dovishness

The euro has declined further against the dollar but should strengthen over next 12 monthsThe euro fell to a 20-month low against the US dollar following the European Central Bank’s (ECB) March policy meeting, given the revised forward guidance that suggests that the interest rate differential is unlikely to provide much upside to the euro in the next few months.That being said, recent euro area PMI surveys tend to favour a stabilisation of economic activity (after a relentless decline since...

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Schuldenbremse — Schweiz besser als EU-Länder

Urs Birchler Um die Schuldenbremse kümmert sich bei batz.ch normalerweise Marius Brülhart. Er hat kürzlich hier argumentiert, dass die Schweizer Schuldenbremse sogar einen leichten Zug rückwärts, in Richtung Schulden-Abbau, beinhalte. Genau umgekehrt ist es in der EU, wie die Vitor Gaspar (Chef Fiscal Affairs beim IMF und früherer Finanzminister Portugals) and David Amaglobeli (ebenfalls IMF, früherer Gouverneur der Zentralbank von Georgien) in einer soeben erschienenen SUERF Policy Note...

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