Tag Archives: Daily News

Despite rising infections worldwide, the virus news stream has turned positive; the dollar is consolidating its gains today With the 10-year yield rising to near 1.0%, US financial conditions are tightening; the Fed released its Financial Stability report yesterday and it pulled no punches; with the Fed media embargo over, many officials will speak today UK House of Lords altered the Internal Market Bill; UK employment numbers were slightly better than expected;...

Dollar weakness has resumed as risk on sentiment dominates; the US election outcome is starting to take shape Senate Majority Leader McConnell said passing a stimulus bill is a top priority during the lame duck session; the two day FOMC meeting concludes today with a likely dovish hold; weekly jobless claims will be reported BOE increased its asset purchases by GBP150 bln vs. GBP100 bln expected; UK government is due to announce more details of the growing fiscal...

Markets likely facing an extended period of uncertainty; the dollar is seeing some safe haven bid but is well off its highs Despite President Trump’s claim of victory and his call to halt vote counting and go to the Supreme Court, it’s important to emphasize that the election is simply not over yet; asset prices are sending a cacophony of signals as investors struggle to price multiple possibilities The two day FOMC meeting starts today and concludes with a likely...

Oil prices continue their rapid decline due to both supply and demand concerns; the dollar is trading at the top end of recent trading ranges This is one of the most eventful weeks for the markets in recent memory; one day ahead of the elections, the implied odds remain roughly at the same levels as they have been for the last few weeks; October ISM manufacturing PMI will start the ball rolling for a key US data week The outlook for the virus in Europe continues to...

Global equity markets are gaining limited traction today after yesterday’s bloodbath; that sell-off helped test a now prevalent hedging thesis for investors The dollar remains bid; US Q3 GDP data will be the data highlight; weekly jobless claims will be reported BOC delivered a dovish hold yesterday; Canada Finance Minister Freeland defended the government’s aggressive fiscal stimulus plans; Brazil left rates unchanged, as expected ECB is expected to deliver a...

Increasing virus numbers have pushed European governments to once again start imposing national measures; the week is starting off on a risk-off note Today may see the official end of stimulus talks; odds for Biden victory are increasing again but is already mostly priced in US manufacturing surveys for October will continue to roll out; Chile’s referendum on a new constitution passed in a landslide Brexit negotiations have been extended; Germany’s October IFO survey...

Geopolitical tensions have risen after US officials accused Russia and Iran of meddling in the elections; the dollar has caught a modest bid today Stimulus talks continue; Pelosi warned that a deal may not come together before the November 3 election; whether Republican Senators change their minds after the elections depends on the outcome Measures of cross-asset volatility suggest a far too generous interpretation of the odds for a clean Democratic sweep; KC Fed...

The dollar is coming under pressure again; markets are finally waking up to the fact that a stimulus deal before 2021 is unlikely; 10-year Treasury yields have been trading in a narrow range for months The quiet US data week continues; Ireland broke from the pattern of how other European countries are tightening mobility rules; Hungary is expected to keep the base rate steady at 0.60%. Japan reported September convenience store sales; dovish RBA remains dovish;...

Virus restrictions across Europe continue to sour sentiment; the dollar is benefiting from the risk-off backdrop The stimulus package is deader than Elvis; Fed manufacturing surveys for October will start to roll out; weekly jobless claims will be reported; Chile is expected to keep rates steady at 0.5% The unofficial deadline for Brexit has likely been extended; the two-day EU summit in Brussels starts today; Israel reports September CPI Australia reported September...

The dollar is making a modest comeback; stimulus talks have hit a dead end; we get more US inflation readings for September Brexit talks continue ahead of the EU summit Thursday and Friday; a new bill by the UK government could change the investment landscape in the country The EU recovery fund has hit some speed bumps; the Netherlands is the latest country to impose stricter measures; eurozone IP came in slightly lower than expected China reported strong money and...