Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, December 30(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) The EUR/CHF remained close the SNB intervention point of 1.07. - Click to enlarge FX Rates In exceptionally thin conditions that characterize the year-end markets, a reportedly computer-generated order lifted the euro from about $1.05 to a little more than $1.0650 in a few minutes early in the Asian sessions. Before European markets...
Read More »FX Outlook 2017: Politics to Eclipse Economics
Investors are familiar with a broad set of macroeconomic variables that often drive asset prices. Many are familiar with corporate balance sheets, price-earning ratios, free cash flow, Q-ratio, and the like. However, political factors are more difficult for investors to integrate into their analysis. Therein lies the main challenge in the year ahead. There will be many opportunities for political factors to overwhelm...
Read More »Frontrunning: December 20
Trump wins Electoral College vote; a few electors break ranks (Reuters) European Stocks Head for a One-Year High (BBG) Japan's Central Bank Keeps Policy Unchanged, Upgrades Economic Outlook (BBG) Russia and Turkey vow to keep detente on track after murder (FT) The Political Implications of Events in Ankara and Berlin (BBG) Trump condemns Berlin attack, says things 'only getting worse' (Reuters) Merkel: "No Doubt Berlin Crash Was a Terror Attack" (BBG) Gunman in Zurich mosque shooting is dead...
Read More »S&P Futures Rise Propelled By Stronger Dollar; Europe At 1 Year High As Yen, Bonds Drop
It appears nothing can stop the upward moment of equities heading into the year end, and as has been the case for the past few weeks, US traders walk in with futures higher, propelled by European stocks which climbed to their highest in almost a year, while the dollar rose and bonds and gold fell, failing again to respond to a series of geopolitical shocks following terrorist attacks in Ankara, Berlin and Zurich. The yen tumbled after the Bank of Japan maintained its stimulus plan even as the...
Read More »Bonds Have Best Day In Over 3 Months Amid China Carnage, Turkey Terror, & Berlin Bloodbath
Despite considerably weaker than expected Services PMI, an assassination in Turkey, a terrorist attack in Zurich, and a bloodbath in Berlin, stocks rallied... As a reminder - Chinese bonds crashed overnight again.. Hong Kong stocks tumbled into correction (red for 2016)... And Italian banks all crashed (led by BMPS)... First things first in The US - the market broke today and stocks loved it... The Dow still has not had two down days in a row since before the...
Read More »Rising Trade Tensions
Summary: Obama Administration has taken a hardline against China’s trade practices. Other countries are also resisting China’s arguments that it is a market economy. Last week, US imposed anti-dumping duties on imported washing machines from China. As was the campaign and the initial appointments, the election of an unorthodox candidate promises to change the way things are done in Washington. However, just as...
Read More »FX Daily, December 14: Markets Quietly Edge into FOMC Meeting
Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, December 14(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge The Pound is entering mid-December in the same fashion it begun the month after having a very strong November as well. After being buoyed by Donald Trump’s victory and the High Courts ruling that parliamentary approval is needed before invoking Article 50, the Pound has been boosted further after economic data...
Read More »FX Daily, December 14: Markets Quietly Edge into FOMC Meeting
Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, December 14(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge The Pound is entering mid-December in the same fashion it begun the month after having a very strong November as well. After being buoyed by Donald Trump’s victory and the High Courts ruling that parliamentary approval is needed before invoking Article 50, the Pound has been boosted further after economic data...
Read More »Global Warm-Ongering: What Happens If Trump Takes US Out Of Paris Agreement?
Submitted by Michael Shedlock via MishTalk.com, For all the shock, horror, and aghast of global warm-ongers, comes a startling revelation: It’s Irrelevant if US Pulls Out of Paris Accord. Donald Trump has sent his clearest message yet about his plans for reshaping US policy on global warming by choosing a chief environmental regulator who has questioned the science of climate change. But leading experts say the...
Read More »Global Warm-Ongering: What Happens If Trump Takes US Out Of Paris Agreement?
Submitted by Michael Shedlock via MishTalk.com, For all the shock, horror, and aghast of global warm-ongers, comes a startling revelation: It’s Irrelevant if US Pulls Out of Paris Accord. Donald Trump has sent his clearest message yet about his plans for reshaping US policy on global warming by choosing a chief environmental regulator who has questioned the science of climate change. But leading experts say the...
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