While China has been banging the nationalist drums in its government-owned tabloids, warning daily of the adverse consequences to the US from either a trade war, or from Trump’s violating the “One China” policy, a more tangible concern for deteriorating relations between China and the US is that Trump could, and most likely will, brand China a currency manipulator shortly after taking over the the Oval Office. Even Bank...
Read More »FX Daily, January 10: Positioning more than Fundamentals Give Traders Pause
Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, January 10(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge Sterling is on the ropes following Brexit comments made by UK Prime Minister Theresa May over the weekend. It’s been a tough day’s trading for any clients holding the Pound with losses against all of the major currencies. GBP/CHF rates have dropped by a cent and a half with the pair now trading in the mid 1.23’s,...
Read More »Gold Price In GBP Up 4 percent On Brexit and UK Risks
Gold Price In GBP Rises 4% On Brexit and UK Economy Risks – Pound fell 2% against gold yesterday after Theresa May created Brexit concerns – May’s ‘Hard Brexit’ denial does not calm markets growing fears – Investors concerned about lack of government strategy and uncertainty – UK Prime Minister bizarrely blames media and “those who print things” for sterling depreciation – GBP gold builds on 31% gain in 2016 with 4%...
Read More »FX Weekly Preview: Macro Forces Underpin Dollar, Equities and Yields
Summary: Odds of a March Fed hike edged up last week, and Q4 GDP figures were revised higher. Many continue to expect the new US Administration to pursue pro-growth tax reform, deregulation and infrastructure spending. Although many other high income countries are growing, near trend divergence of monetary policy continues. United States The major US equity indices reached record highs before the weekend even...
Read More »Gold Rises In All Currencies In 2016 – 9 percent In USD, 13 percent In EUR and 31.5 percent In GBP
– Gold gains in USD, GBP, EUR, CAD, AUD, NZD, JPY – Gold gains in CNY, INR & most emerging market currencies– Gold surges 31.5% in British pounds after Brexit shock– Gold acted as hedge and safe haven in 2016 … for those who need safe haven– Furthers signs of market having bottomed and bodes well for 2017 – What drivers will gold respond to in 2017? – EU elections and contagion risk, Geo-politics, terrorism, war...
Read More »Gold Rises In All Currencies In 2016 – 9 percent In USD, 13 percent In EUR and 31.5 percent In GBP
– Gold gains in USD, GBP, EUR, CAD, AUD, NZD, JPY – Gold gains in CNY, INR & most emerging market currencies– Gold surges 31.5% in British pounds after Brexit shock– Gold acted as hedge and safe haven in 2016 … for those who need safe haven– Furthers signs of market having bottomed and bodes well for 2017 – What drivers will gold respond to in 2017? – EU elections and contagion risk, Geo-politics, terrorism, war...
Read More »Nomi Prins’ Political-Financial Road Map For 2017
As tumultuous as last year was from a global political perspective on the back of a rocky start market-wise, 2017 will be much more so. The central bank subsidization of the financial system (especially in the US and Europe) that began with the Fed invoking zero interest rate policy in 2008, gave way to international distrust of the enabling status quo that unfolded in different ways across the planet. My prognosis is...
Read More »Money, Markets, & Mayhem – What To Expect In The Year Ahead
If you thought 2016 was full of market maelstroms and geopolitical gotchas, 2017’s ‘known unknowns’ suggest a year of more mayhem awaits… Here’s a selection of key events in the year ahead (and links to Bloomberg’s quick-takes on each). January Donald Trump will be sworn in as U.S. president on Jan. 20.QuickTakes: Immigration Reform, Free Trade and Its Foes, Supreme Court, Oil Sands, Confronting Coal, Climate Change,...
Read More »Chinese Philosopher Kings, Losing their Yuan FX Religion?
It took a while, but the world are slowly coming to grips with the simple fact that the red-suzerains in Beijing are not the infallible leaders en route to a new superior economic model as they thought they were. All the craze that emanated from the spurious work of Joshua Cooper Ramo, which eventually led to works like “How China’s Authoritarian Model Will Dominate the Twenty-First Century,” are slowly catching...
Read More »Gold Market Charts – A Month in Review
BullionStar has recently started a new series of posts highlighting charts relating to some of the most important gold markets, gold exchanges and gold trends around the world. The posts include charts of the Chinese Gold Market, the flow of gold from West to East via the London and Swiss gold markets, and the holdings of gold-backed Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). This is the second post in the series. Please see...
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