Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.06% at 1.1349 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, February 18(see more posts on EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: In quiet turnover, the US dollar slipped lower against most of the major currencies to start the new week. The news stream is light and the US markets are closed today. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index was up five of the past six...
Read More »FX Weekly Preview: Drivers, While Marking Time
The main issues for investors have not changed. There are three dominant ones: Trade, growth, and Brexit. Unfortunately, there won’t be any closure in the week ahead, and that may make short-term participants reluctant to turn more aggressive. United States The US reported exceptionally poor December retail sales and January industrial output figures. Growth forecasts were adjusted. The St. Louis Fed’s GDP Now tracker,...
Read More »FX Daily, February 15: Equities Stall While Greenback Remains Firm
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.10% at 1.1336 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, February 15(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The S&P 500 snapped a four-day advance yesterday, and equities in the Asia Pacific followed suit. All the markets in the region were lower but in Australia. MSCI’s regional benchmark stalled after reached a four-month high in the...
Read More »Socialism, Keynesianism, and Fascism
The American political discourse has changed since the 2018 midterm election. Enthusiasm and passion were to be found on the left-wing of the Democratic Party. A new sense of hope and mission replaced the defeatism and cynicism seen in 2016. Some identified with democratic socialism, but in the political rhetoric the broad brush of “socialism” has been used to paint the entire party. The 2020 contest is already being...
Read More »FX Daily, February 13: QT is not the Opposite of QE
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.25% at 1.1367 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, February 13(see more posts on EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The Federal Reserve has long been clear on the sequence of events as it innovated the playbook during the Great Financial Crisis. There would be a considerable period between when the Fed would finish its credit easing operations that...
Read More »FX Daily, February 12: Dollar Buying Pressure Subsides
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.63% at 1.1388 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, February 12(see more posts on EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The Dollar Index’s eight-day advance is in jeopardy. Although the greenback recorded new highs against some major currencies, the momentum appears to be stalling. The news stream is constructive as a compromise seems to have been...
Read More »FX Daily, February 11: Dollar Starts New Week on Firm Note
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.05% at 1.1331 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, February 11(see more posts on EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Lifted by the re-opening of Chinese markets after the week-long Lunar New Year holiday, global equities are trading firmer. Outside of Japanese markets that were closed, the large markets in Asia–China, Taiwan, South Korea, and...
Read More »FX Weekly Preview: Little Resolution in the Week Ahead
According to legend, the person who unraveled the Gordian Knot would rule the world. No one succeeded until Alexandar the Great took his mighty sword and sliced the knot in half. A young boy saw him afterward, crying on the steps of the Temple of Apollo. “Why are you crying?” the boy asked, “you just conquered the world. “Yes'” Alexander wept, ” now there is nothing else for me to do.” Investors are not as cursed as...
Read More »Cool Video: Noise or Signal?
From the second half of last week through the first half of this week, the S&P 500 rallied. It surpassed our target of 2700 and made it to almost 2740, retracing more nearly 2/3 of the decline from the record high set last September. It stalled ahead of the 200-day moving average, which had previously offered support declines. The S&P 500 pulled back in the second half of the week. The fact the three-day...
Read More »FX Daily, February 08: Dollar Index Seven-Day Advance is the Longest in Two Years
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.22% at 1.1343 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, February 08(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: As North American traders return to their posts to put the finishing touches on the week’s activity, the Dollar Index is extending its advance for a seventh consecutive session. If sustained, it will be the longest advance since...
Read More »