We tried a CNBC hook-up in Asia via Skype on February 25. I did not think there would be a clip, but I stumbled on it looking for something else. Click here for the roughly 2.5-minute interview done from my apartment in NYC. The discussion is on Brexit and sterling. [embedded content] Related posts: Cool Video: Clip from CNBC Squawk Box FX Daily,...
Read More »FX Daily, February 27: Dollar Trades Heavily, While Prospects of a Softer and Later Brexit Send Sterling Higher
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.21% at 1.1366 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, February 27(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: As the North American session is about to begin, the markets await developments in the UK House of Commons where a vote is expected today on Prime Minister May’s proposal to hold votes on around March 12 on the Withdrawal Bill and no...
Read More »FX Daily, February 26: Brexit Dilution Lifts Sterling, while Yesterday’s Equity Rally Fades, Powell Awaited
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.02% at 1.1363 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, February 26(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The increased likelihood that Brexit is delayed and the possibility of a second referendum is helping lift sterling. As has been the case for most of the time since the June 2016 referendum, the prospects of a softer and/or later...
Read More »FX Daily, February 25: Dollar Thumped on Confirmation of Tariff Delay while Stocks Advance
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.18% at 1.1358 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, February 25(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The extension of the US-China tariff freeze had been telegraphed, but the confirmation is the single biggest driver of the day. Equities, led by a 5%+ advance in China, have rallied in Asia and Europe. Benchmark 10-year bond yields are...
Read More »FX Weekly Preview: The Week Ahead
After a dismal end of 2018, investors are faring better through the first two- thirds of the Q1 19. Equity markets have recouped a good part of the late-2018 decline. Bond yields, however, have not returned to where they previously were. The tightening of financial conditions, which was both cause and effect of heightened anxiety among investors, and spooked some central bank have eased considerably. The volatility of...
Read More »FX Daily, February 22: Markets Ending Week with A Whimper
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.09% at 1.1333 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, February 22(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The global capital markets are winding down what appears to be an inconclusive week quietly and on a mixed note. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index is poised to snap a four-day advance but held on to a nearly 2% gain for the week. European...
Read More »FX Daily, February 21: Aussie Slammed by Dalian Coal Embargo, While Firmer Flash PMI does Euro Little Good
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.04% at 1.1347 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, February 21(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: merkets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The US dollar is firm against most major and emerging market currencies. There is more optimism on US-Chinese trade as a series of understandings are drafted, and an extension past March 1 of the tariff freeze is reportedly in the...
Read More »Cool Video: Fox Business–Stocks and the US Consumer
Varney and Company on Fox Business TV - Click to enlarge I joined Varney and Company on Fox Business TV earlier today. Varney had liked by bullish call on stocks from the end of last year, but seemed dismayed that I have turned cautious. I suggested that the S&P are approaching a key area a little above 2800 that has capped in Q4 18. In addition to these chart points, I am concerned that the S&P 500 has rallied...
Read More »FX Daily, February 20: US-China Trade and Brexit Dominate Ahead of FOMC Minutes
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.12% at 1.1337 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, February 20(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The US dollar is narrowly mixed against the major currencies, but the strongest currency today is the Chinese yuan, following reports that US wants China to keep the yuan stable and not offset US tariffs with currency depreciation. The...
Read More »FX Daily, February 19: Investors Need Fresh Incentives
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.08% at 1.1345 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, February 19(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Activity in the global capital markets is subdued as investors await fresh developments. New wording for the Irish backstop apparently is being drafted. US-China trade talks resume. No decision has been made on US auto tariffs, but...
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