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Tag Archives: 4) FX Trends

FX Weekly Preview: Three Highlights in the Week Ahead

Three events next week will shape the investment climate. The Federal Reserve meets and will update its forecasts and guidance. The British House of Commons may vote for a third time on the Withdrawal Bill before Prime Minister May heads of the EU Summit to ask for an extension of the UK leaving the EU. The eurozone sees the flash March PMI, with great hope that the green shoots of spring will be evident. There is...

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There at the Beginning

Sometimes it is difficult to gain perspective. That is why it may be difficult to see the forest for the trees. It is as we spend most of our time climbing a mountain: One handhold and foothold at a time. Immediacy and urgency limit our peripheral and forward visions. The end of the first expansion since the Great Financial Crisis may be drawing close. There is a concern among officials and investors that the tools that...

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FX Daily, March 15: Euro and Yen Volatility Slips to New Five-Year Lows on the Ides of March

Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.09% at 1.1354 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, March 15(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The capital markets are calm ahead of the weekend. Outside of Australia and Thailand, Asia Pacific equities advanced, while European shares are mostly little changed. The regional benchmarks, like the S&P 500 have recouped last week’s...

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FX Daily, March 14: Another UK Vote, but No Closure

Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.19% at 1.1346 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, March 14(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The Brexit drama continues to play out, and the Withdrawal Bill that has been twice defeated is ironically not dead yet.  Today’s vote, in fact, is predicated on another “meaningful vote” before seeking an extension. Sterling remains firm...

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FX Daily, March 13: Still Waiting for Brexit Climax

Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.04% at 1.1368 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, March 13(see more posts on EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The Brexit drama continues to command attention. A vote on leaving without an agreement will be held today, and if that fails, there will be a vote tomorrow on an extension. Meanwhile, the first increase in headline US CPI in four...

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FX Daily, March 12: Wave of Optimism Sweeps through the Capital Markets

Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.03% at 1.1361 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, March 12(see more posts on EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Last minutes statements meant to clarify what many MPs find to be the most odious part of the Withdrawal Bill, the backstop for the Irish border is goosed global equity markets even though it does not seem as if the Withdrawal Bill...

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FX Daily, March 11: Greenback Starts New Week Decidedly Mixed, with Brexit Anxiety Weighing on Sterling

Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.19% at 1.1347 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, March 11(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Asian shares recovered from opening losses to finish mostly higher, with the Shanghai Composite up nearly 2% and India tacking on 1% after the election was called, starting April 11. European markets, led by energy, communication, and...

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FX Weekly Preview: Brexit Comes to a Head, and while Europe and US Data Rebound, the Equity Rally Falters

Brexit comes to a head. By nearly all reckoning, the Withdrawal Bill will be resoundingly defeated in the House of Commons on March 12. The margin of defeat may not match the first rejection, but it will be the death knell to the path that had been negotiated for a year and a half. On March 13, the House of Commons will vote on leaving the EU without a withdrawal agreement. Most, except the most extreme partisans, think...

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FX Daily, March 08: Equities Slump on Growth Concerns ahead of US Jobs

Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.03% at 1.1313 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, March 08(see more posts on EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: A weak economic assessment in the Beige Book and an ECB that slashed growth forecasts have been followed by news of a nearly 21% slump in China’s exports have marked the end of the dramatic equity rally that was seen in the first...

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FX Daily, March 07: EMU Looks to ECB

Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.31% at 1.1324 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, March 07(see more posts on EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The ECB meeting is today’s highlight. A dovish signal is expected. The euro remains pinned near its lows ahead it. The global equity market rally in January and February is faltering this week. Asian equities were mixed, but the...

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