Tag Archives: 1) SNB and CHF

The current monetary environment in Switzerland is as far from ordinary as can be imagined: negative interest rates (from -0.75% in the short term to -0.25% for 50Y govt bonds) and oceans of liquidity (M0 has grown to 50% of M3 from pre-crises levels of around 8%). The Swiss National Bank faces criticism because it is seen as contributing to this state of affairs. Both the critique and the counter-arguments have many facets. Let us pick just one of them: is the SNB...

USD/CHF created a strong bullish recovery while nearing the 2020 highs.  The level to beat for bulls is the 0.9770 resistance.   USD/CHF daily chart USD/CHF is attempting to form a base near multi-month lows while trading below the main daily simple moving averages. USD/CHF daily chart(see more posts on USD/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge USD/CHF four-hour chart The market is nearing the January highs while trading above the main SMAs. Bulls want a break above the...

« La création de monnaie est un processus à deux volets: le premier consiste en la création de monnaie centrale (billets de banque ainsi qu’avoirs en comptes de virement auprès de la banque centrale) par la banque centrale en application du monopole d’émission des billets de banque. Le second est constitué par la monnaie scripturale c réée par les banques commerciales lorsqu’elles accordent des crédits au public (ménages, entreprises » Masse monétaire et prix....

USD/CHF trades with a positive bias for the fourth consecutive session. The 0.9700 mark might now act as a strong base for bullish traders. The USD/CHF pair edged higher for the fourth consecutive session on Thursday and is currently placed near one-week tops, levels just below mid-0.9700s. Any subsequent positive move is likely to confront stiff resistance near the 0.9765-70 region (testing twice in January) and kept a lid on any further gains. The mentioned barrier...

USD/CHF edges higher for the fourth consecutive session on Thursday. The risk-on mood weighed on the safe-haven CHF and remained supportive. A pullback in the US bond yields kept a lid on the USD and capped gains. The USD/CHF pair now seems to have entered a bullish consolidation phase and was seen oscillating in a narrow trading band near one-week tops, just below mid-0.9700s. The pair added to its positive momentum witnessed since the beginning of this week and...

USD/CHF registers four-day winning streak, nears one-week high. A falling trend line since December 25, seven-week-old horizontal resistance limits the immediate upside. Overbought RSI conditions increase the odds of a pullback. USD/CHF remains mildly positive while gaining 0.07% to 0.9745 amid the pre-Europe session on Thursday. Overbought RSI conditions, coupled with multiple key resistance lines, question the pair’s further upside. As a result, sellers will look...

USD/CHF gains positive traction for the third consecutive session on Wednesday. Optimism over coronavirus treatment triggered a fresh wave of global risk-on trade. The USD benefitted from surging US bond yields and remained support ahead of data. The USD/CHF pair surged through the 0.9700 round-figure mark and climbed to near one-week tops in the last hour, albeit retreated few pips thereafter. The pair gained some follow-through traction for the third consecutive...

USD/CHF extends recovery from mid-January lows. A ten-week-old falling trend line, short-term horizontal resistance area will challenge the pair’s latest pullback. The pair’s break of yearly low can push the bears towards late-2018 lows. USD/CHF takes the bids to 0.9700 during the pre-European session on Wednesday. That said, 21-day EMA limits the pair’s immediate upside amid the bullish MACD signals. Even if the pair manages to clear the 0.9700 mark on a daily...

Für das Jahr 2019 prognostizierten die Auguren zwei weitere Zins-Erhöhungen durch das FED. Diese Erwartung schien wie in Stein gemeisselt, weshalb die Aktienmärkte im letzten Quartal 2018 auch massiv nachgaben und die Prognosen für das Jahr 2019 entsprechend eintrübten. Der eine oder andere – auch angeblich professionelle Anleger – reduzierte seine Aktienquote. Das Jahr 2019 brachte uns indessen drei Zins-Senkungen, nicht zuletzt, weil Präsident Trump dies forderte...

USD/CHF confronts 23.6% Fibonacci retracement following the bounce off 21-day SMA. Early month lows add to the support while 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, 50-day SMA will challenge recovery moves. USD/CHF takes the bids to 0.9707 during the pre-Europe session on Friday. In doing so, the pair repeats the tendency of staying beyond 21-day SMA while also confronting 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of its declines from November 29, 2019, to January 16, 2020. The sustained...