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Tag Archives: newsletter

Swiss students reveal prototype for experimental hyperloop

The Swiss team hopes the pod will attain speeds of 400km/h on the SpaceX track in California (swissloop) A pod built by students at Zurich’s Federal Institute of technology (ETHZ) will be competing to be the fastest to navigate the Hyperloop experimental high-speed transportation system in California. The Swiss pod, named Escher after the 19th century Swiss entrepreneur Alfred Escher, was unveiled at ETHZ at a ceremony...

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Emerging Markets: What has Changed

Summary Indonesia’s parliament approved a revised budget for 2017 that sees a wider deficit. Pakistan’s Supreme Court has ousted Prime Minister Sharif. Polish President Duda vetoed portions of the judicial reform bill submitted by the Law and Justice party. The European Commission (EC) is preparing possible sanctions against Poland. The US House of Representatives voted to impose new sanctions against Russia, Iran, and...

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KOF Economic Barometer: Outlook for the Swiss Economy Remains Favourable

The KOF Economic Barometer rose further and reaches a value of 106.8 in July. In June, the Barometer stood at a value of 105.8 (revised from 105.5). The Barometer has been trending above its historical average for some time now and the outlook for the Swiss economy remains favourable. In July 2017, the KOF Economic Barometer rose further – the new reading of 106.8 remains above its long-term average. The strongest...

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Strong franc forces Swiss paper mill to close

The paper mill closure will end 125 years of industrial history in the region (Keystone) The closure of a paper factory in canton Bern will leave only one such plant supplying the newspaper and magazine industry in Switzerland from next year. The 125-year-old Utzenstorf factory will close its doors at the end of 2017, management announced on Tuesday. The decision was blamed on the strong franc that has appreciated...

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Great Graphic: Surprise-S&P 500 Outperforming the Dow Jones Stoxx 600

Many asset managers have been bullish European shares this year. European and emerging market equities are among the favorite plays this year. Surveys of fund managers find that the allocation to US equities is among the lowest in nearly a decade. The case against the US is based on overvaluation and being a crowded trade. Many are concerned about  too hawkish of a Federal Reserve (policy mistake) or the lack of tax...

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When Do We Know These Are Delusional Markets

Latest Investment Outlook In his latest investment outlook, Fasanara Capital’s Franceso Filia, who two months ago explained in one chart how the “fake market” operates… … discuss what happens when a “Twin Bubble meets quantitative tightening” and answers why record-low volatility breeds market fragility and precedes system instability. We’ll have more to share on that shortly, but for now, here is Filia with his take...

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FX Daily, July 27: Dollar Remains on the Defensive

Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.82% to 1.1244 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, July 27(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar is narrowly mixed after selling off following the FOMC statement. Sometimes the narrative explains the price action, and sometimes the price action explains the narrative. This seems to be the case of the latter. The dollar and...

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Gold Seasonal Sweet Spot – August and September – Coming

– Gold seasonal sweet spot – August and September – is coming– Gold’s performance by month from 1979 to 2016 – must see table– August sees average return of 1.4% and September of 2.5%– September is best month to own gold, followed by January, November & August Looking back at gold’s performance since 1979, August and September are big months for the yellow metal. What is the cause? No one really knows but there are...

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The Two Charts That Dictate the Future of the Economy

If you study these charts closely, you can only conclude that the US economy is doomed to secular stagnation and never-ending recession. The stock market, bond yields and statistical measures of the economy can be gamed, manipulated and massaged by authorities, but the real economy cannot. This is espcially true for the core drivers of the economy, real (adjusted for inflation) household income and real disposable...

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Progress in St. Petersburg

Expectations going into the OPEC monitoring meeting in St. Petersburg were low.  The OPEC agreement to reduce output appeared to be fraying.  June output appeared to have increased in several countries, and private sector estimates suggest output rose further in July.  Russia expressed reluctance to extend the agreement further.  Ecuador announced it would no longer participate in the output restraint.  Hopes that...

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