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Tag Archives: JPY

Draghi Lets Steam out of Euro

Summary: US reported stronger than expected series of data, including a large drop in weekly jobless claims for the week of the next NFP survey. Draghi remained dovish, with key phrases retained. Euro needs to break $1.0575 now to confirm a top is in place. Markets still uncertain ahead of the start of the new Administration. The combination of stronger US economy data and a dovish Draghi has seen the US...

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FX Daily, January 19: Dollar Gives Back Most of Yellen-Inspired Gains

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, January 19(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge GBP/CHF GBP/CHF has been range bound in recent weeks but anything but predictable! Of course one of the main, if not the main driver on this rollercoaster is the pound which has been much weaker and stronger according to the sentiments over the Brexit. On the whole the market is predicting the pound will be weaker...

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FX Daily, January 18: Markets Stabilize, Awaiting Fresh Cues

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, January 18(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge GBP/CHF Yesterday morning Theresa May, the UK Prime Minister set out a clear and realistic plan for the UK’s Brexit, which is likely to begin at the end of March this year. Many had expected to see her give a ‘Hard Brexit’ leaning speech and the Pound had lost value in the lead up to her comments, but when she...

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FX Daily, January 17: Trump’s Comments Send the Dollar Reeling

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, January 17(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge GBP/CHF The pound to Swiss Franc exchange rate rose today as investors were pleased by Theresa May’s comments about the Brexit. We are looking now at a more decisive Prime Minister Theresa May who has set out a plan and some objectives which if realised will create a much stronger and better Brexit than political...

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FX Daily, January 17: Trump’s Comments Send the Dollar Reeling

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, January 17(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge   GBP/CHF - British Pound Swiss Franc, January 17(see more posts on GBP/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar is broadly lower against major and emerging market currencies.  It has given up yesterday’s gains and more.  The proximate cause appears to be comments by President-elect Trump in a Wall...

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FX Daily, January 16: Hard Exit Talk Sent Sterling Below $1.20

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, January 16(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge FX Rates The euro has been sold to $1.0580 in the European morning, a cent lower from the pre-weekend high. In addition to the drag from sterling, the euro appears to have been sold in response to the interview in two European papers of the next US President.  Among other things, Trump reported claimed that NATO...

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FX Daily, January 13: Corrective Forces Persist

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, January 13(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge Supreme Court Judgement expected imminently The Supreme Court Judgement on whether parliament will have to O.K  the triggering of article 50 is ongoing and when the ruling is announced expect big swings on GBP/CHF. I think the likely outcome will be that parliament will get the vote, most broad sheet papers have...

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FX Daily, January 11: Dollar Comes Back Bid

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, January 11 (see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge The pound has seen a sharp fall following the interview that Theresa May gave with Sky news on Sunday although there has been a small rebound this afternoon. GBP CHF exchange rates are hovering around 1.2350 for this pair. The pound fell sharply in morning trade but has since recovered as there still remains a...

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FX Daily, January 10: Positioning more than Fundamentals Give Traders Pause

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, January 10(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge Sterling is on the ropes following Brexit comments made by UK Prime Minister Theresa May over the weekend. It’s been a tough day’s trading for any clients holding the Pound with losses against all of the  major currencies. GBP/CHF rates have dropped by a cent and a half with the pair now trading in the mid 1.23’s,...

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The Better Way: Backing into Smoot-Hawley and Repeating the Flaws of PPP

Summary: Part of the US Republican tax reforms call for a border adjustment. It will tax imports fully and not exports. This will likely be challenged at the WTO. Many economists say the dollar will automatically appreciate by 20%. WE are bullish the dollar but skeptical of the logic here. While hearings on US President-elect Trump’s nominees will begin this week, the Republicans are preparing dramatic changes...

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