Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.16% at 1.145 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, October 12(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Equity markets are stabilizing today as Asian and European markets shrug off the failure to get traction in the US yesterday. As everything and nothing was behind the dramatic sell-off in recent days, the same could be said about today’s...
Read More »Macro Cheat Sheet
Here is a succinct four-bullet summary of key considerations behind five currencies: USD Rising US rates in absolute terms and relative to other countries, coupled with the policy-mix and US tax reform are the main drivers. The market has nearly completely discounted three more Fed hikes by the end of next year, while the Fed has signaled that four hikes may be appropriate. Despite the fiscal stimulus and robust...
Read More »FX Daily, October 10: US Dollar Pullback may Continue in North America
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.19% at 1.1416 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, October 10(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates US Dollar: The euro bottomed yesterday near $1.1430 and reached $1.1515 in Asia. Support is seen near $1.1480 and should hold if the euro’s upside correction is to continue. There are options struck $1.1500-$1.1510 for nearly 1.4 bln euros...
Read More »FX Daily, October 09: A (Short) Reprieve For China while the Dollar Stays Firm
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.10% at 1.1393 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, October 09(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The small gains in China’s Shanghai Composite and the yuan is helping sentiment today. News that Italy’s budget watchdog may reject the government’s fiscal plans has helped stabilize Italian assets initially, but renewed pressure...
Read More »FX Daily, October 08: China and European Woes Weigh on Equities but Buoy the Dollar
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.24% at 1.1395 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, October 08(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The markets are having a rough adjustment to the return of the Chinese markets are the week-long holiday. The cut in the required reserves failed to lift investor sentiment. The Shanghai and Shenzhen Composites fell almost 4%, and...
Read More »FX Daily, October 05: US Jobs Data will Test Dollar Bulls and Bond Bears
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.11% at 1.1429 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, October 05(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar is firmer against most of the major and emerging market currencies. The yen and sterling are resisting the pressure, while the South African rand and Russian rouble are paring some of this week’s declines. US equity losses...
Read More »FX Daily, October 04: Dollar Consolidates Gains while Yields Continue to Rise
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.29% at 1.1419 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, October 04(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar is consolidating yesterday’s gains against most of the major currencies, though the dollar bloc is underperforming. Bond yields are moving higher, and equities are lower. With a light data and events stream, the price action itself...
Read More »FX Daily, October 02: Greenback Advances
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.32% at 1.135 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, October 02(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The US dollar is rising against most of the major and emerging market currencies. The Swiss franc and the Japanese yen are the exceptions and are holding their own. Global equities are mixed. Asia, excluding Japan, was mostly lower,...
Read More »A Word About the Q2 COFER Report
The IMF reports the most authoritative currency allocation of global reserves at the end of every quarter with a quarter delay. Invariably, an economist, strategist, or journalist is inspired to write why some data nugget confirms the demise of the dollar as the dominant currency. Given the unorthodox US President, his criticism of Fed policy, and desire for a weaker dollar, the protectionism, and trillion-dollar...
Read More »FX Daily, October 01: NAFTA Deal Struck, Softer EMU Mfg PMI, and Firm Greenback Starts Week
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.16% at 1.1415 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, October 01(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The Canadian dollar and Mexican peso are extending its pre-weekend gains on news that a new NAFTA deal (US-Mexico-Canada Agreement USMCA) has been struck. Against most of the other major and emerging market currencies, the US dollar...
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