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Tag Archives: EUR

FX Daily, July 16: Dollar Softens a Little as Market Awaits Developments

Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.05% to 1.1683 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, July 16(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar is slightly softer against most of the major currencies but is in narrow ranges ahead of today’s key events, which include US retail sales and the debate in the UK parliament over Brexit. The yen is the main exception. The local...

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Great Graphic: Two Stories for Two Trend Lines

The Dollar Index made a marginal new high for the year at the end of June a touch below 95.55. It fell through the start of this week when it reached nearly 93.70. With the earlier gains, the Dollar Index briefly traded above the 61.8% retracement of the pullback  (~94.85). A move now below 94.20 would be disappointing. The Dollar Index is not a trade-weighted. It is too concentrated in Europe and does not include two...

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FX Daily, July 13: Trump Trips Sterling, but Greenback Enjoys Broad Gains

Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.01% to 1.1698 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, July 13(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Sterling’s 0.6% loss (@ ~$1.3120) is co-leading the downside in the firm US dollar environment, having to share that role with the New Zealand dollar today, where a weaker manufacturing PMI (52.8 from 54.4) is taking a toll. Both sterling and...

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FX Daily, July 12: Dollar Remains Firm as Risk Returns

Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.65% to 1.1698 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, July 12(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The dollar has broken out against the Japanese yen. Despite the global equity drop and decline in US yields, which often underpin the yen, the yen fell to its lowest level since early January yesterday and is continuing to sell-off today. The...

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FX Daily, July 11: Escalating Trade Tensions Set Tone for Capital Markets

Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.06% to 1.1639 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, July 11(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US took the first step in making good its threat to put a 10% tariff on $200 bln of Chinese goods in response to the PRC retaliating for the 25% tariff on $34 bln of its exports. The US provided a list of products that will get the new...

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FX Daily, July 10: May Survives to Fight Another Day, but Sterling’s Recovery Falters

Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.13% to 1.1632 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, July 10(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The euro was already trading with a heavier bias, having been turned back after approaching the $1.18 level yesterday. The disappointing Geman survey data encouraged some late longs to be cut, driving the euro to the session low near $1.1715,...

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FX Daily, July 09: Possibility of a Soft Brexit Excites Sterling (too Early?)

Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.17% to 1.164 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, July 09(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates After a little wobble, sterling has responded favorably to the resignation of the UK Brexit team led by David Davis. The idea is that a path to a softer Brexit is good for sterling. In fairness, it is a bit early to reach this conclusion, and...

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FX Weekly Preview: Macro Considerations for the Capital Markets

The triumphalism that followed the fall of the Berlin Wall nearly three decades ago has evaporated. The Great Financial Crisis and inexorable widening of income and wealth inequalities within countries undermined claims of moral and economic superiority. Liberal democracies are fighting a rearguard action and the rise of illiberal regimes. The president of the country with the strongest military might and largest...

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FX Daily, July 06: Dollar Slips After Tariffs and Before Jobs Data

Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.19% to 1.1629 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, July 06(see more posts on EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The first set of US tariffs aims specifically at China were implemented, and the retaliatory actions were also launched. The tariffs cover hundreds of goods, though the initial amount of trade covered is relatively small at $34 bln....

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FX Daily, July 05: Dollar is Mixed on Eve of US Jobs and Tariffs

Swss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.38% to 1.161 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, July 05(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge The US dollar is softer against most of the major currencies and mixed against the emerging market currencies. European currencies firmer, with the continued recovery of the Swedish krona on the back of a more hawkish central bank, and the euro poking...

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