United States With most of the major central bank meetings and important economic data out of the way, the dog days of August are upon us. In terms of drivers, it means that players will have to look elsewhere for inspiration and it means that market liquidy is likely not at its best. That said, there are a few economic reports that will grab investors’ attention, even if briefly. Among them will be the US July CPI....
Read More »FX Daily, August 03: Greenback Remains Firm Ahead of Jobs, JGBs Stabilize, Italian Debt Moves into Spotlight
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.19% to 1.1503 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, August 03(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar is trading at the upper end of its recent ranges against the euro and sterling. The euro finished below $1.16 yesterday for the first time since the end of June and has not been able to resurface that level so far today. We...
Read More »FX Daily, August 02: BOJ Surprises, BOE on Tap, Trade Worries Weigh on Stocks
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.14% to 1.1548 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, August 02(see more posts on EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The Bank of England meeting concludes a run of major central bank meetings over the past fortnight. The BOE is widely expected to join the Bank of Canada in raising rates. The Federal Reserve and the ECB were content to do and say...
Read More »FX Daily, August 01: Trade and Japan Drive Markets Ahead of Stand Pat Fed
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.11% to 1.1588 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, August 01(see more posts on EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Investors recognize the risks to growth posed by the tariffs and counter-tariffs being imposed, but the way the US is going about it is also disconcerting. Within a few hours of signals that the US and China were looking to re-engage...
Read More »FX Daily, July 31: BOJ Prepares for QE Infinity
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.15% to 1.1582 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, July 31(see more posts on EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The Japanese yen has been sold following the adjustments to policy and outlook by the BOJ that will allow the unconventional policies continue for an “extended period of time.” Cross rate pressure and month-end demand have lifted the...
Read More »FX Daily, July 30: Equities, Bonds, and the Dollar Start Week Softer
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.03% to 1.159 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, July 30(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The week’s big events lie ahead. It is seen as the last important week before the dog days of summer when many participants will take holidays. The BOJ’s two-day meeting concludes tomorrow. Speculation that the BOJ is looking for ways to...
Read More »FX Daily, July 27: Greenback Remains Firm Ahead of Q2 GDP
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.22% to 1.1597 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, July 27(see more posts on EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Trends The US dollar is trading firmly in Europe after consolidating yesterday’s gains during the Asian session and ahead of the first look at Q2 GDP. Yesterday’s economic reports, including durable goods orders and inventory data, saw the...
Read More »FX Daily, July 26: Equities like EU-US Trade Truce more than the Euro
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.29% to 1.1597 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, July 26(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The dollar is mostly firmer. The Australian dollar is off the most (~0.35%, ~$0.7425), after peaking a little above $0.7460. The price action reinforces the $0.7300-$0.7500 range. The yen is the strongest of the majors. Near JPY110.80, the yen...
Read More »Great Graphic: US 2-year Premium Grows and Outlook for G3 Central Banks
A cry was heard last week when President Trump expressed displeasure with the Fed’s rate hikes. Some, like former Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers, claimed that this was another step toward becoming a “banana republic.” Jeffrey Sachs, another noted economist, claimed that “American democracy is probably one more war away from collapsing into tyranny.” The line that Trump supposedly crossed did not change investors’...
Read More »FX Daily, July 25: Narrow Ranges Prevail
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.04% to 1.1613 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, July 25(see more posts on EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar is trapped in narrow trading ranges. That itself is news. At the end of last week ago, the US President seemed to have opened another front in his campaign to re-orient US relationships by appearing to talk the dollar down....
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