Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.09% to 1.0528 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, May 08(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The S&P 500 closed near its session lows for the third day running yesterday but failed to deter the bulls in Asia-Pacific, where most markets rose by more than 1%. Taiwan, Korea, and Australia lagged a bit though closed higher. Europe’s Dow Jones Stoxx 600 is firm, and the modest...
Read More »FX Daily, May 7: China Reports an Unexpected Jump in Exports, While Norway Surprises with a Rate Cut
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.10% to 1.0532 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, May 07(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: There is a sense of indecision in the air today. There have been several developments, but investors seem mostly reluctant to extend positions. China reported a surge in exports in April and an increase in the value of reserves. Australia reported a rise in exports in March. The Bank of...
Read More »Cool Video: TD Ameritrade-Stocks, the Dollar and the Trap Laid by the German Court
Here is a nine-minute clip of a chat I had with Ben Lichtenstein at TD Ameritrade. Ben captures futures traders’ energy and breadth of vision. Often in institutional settings, one develops a specialization, but in my experience, futures traders are more likely to look across the markets and asset classes. It is one of the lasting lessons learned early in my career on the floor of the CME. We focus on the S&P 500 and yesterday’s German court decision, which I...
Read More »FX Daily, May 6: The Euro is Knocked Back Further
Overview: The late sell-off in US stocks yesterday has not prevented gains in Asia and Europe. Most of the equity markets, including the re-opening of China, gain more than 1%. Australia was a notable exception, falling about 0.4%, and Taiwan was virtually flat. European bourses opened higher but made little headway before some profit-taking set in, while US shares are trading higher. Benchmark 10-year yields are firmer, and the US Treasury yield is near 67 bp...
Read More »FX Daily, April 5: German Court Adds to the Euro’s Woes
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.11% to 1.0535 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, May 05(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The S&P 500 recovered yesterday after dipping trading below the 20-day moving average for the first time in a month. The key area is the gap between the April 30 low (~2892.5) and the May 1 high (~2869). Oil reversed higher as well. June crude was off nearly 9% in the US morning and...
Read More »New Month, New Trends?
The dollar fell against all the major currencies and most of the emerging market currencies last week. The Dollar Index fell by 1.3%, the biggest loss since the last week of March, and posted its lowest close in nearly three weeks ahead of the weekend. There seemed to be a change in the market after key equity benchmarks, like the MSCI ACWI Index of both emerging and developed markets put in a recovery high in the middle of last week. The S&P 500 also peaked at...
Read More »FX Daily, May 4: Monday Blues
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.11% to 1.054 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, May 04(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The constructive mood among investors in April has given way to new concerns as May gets underway. Japan and China are still on holiday, but most of the other markets in Asia fell, led by 4.5%-5.5% declines in Hong Kong and India, and more than 2% in most other local markets. Australia...
Read More »FX Daily, April 30: ECB Takes Center Stage
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.38% to 1.0545 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, April 30(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Equities continue to recover even as deep economic contractions are reported. Yesterday, the US said Q1 GDP contracted at an annualized pace of 4.8%, while the eurozone reported today that output fell 3.8% quarter-over-quarter in Q1. Hong Kong and South Korea were closed, but the rest...
Read More »FX Daily, April 29: Heavy Dollar amid Month-End Pressure
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.05% to 1.0553 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, April 29(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The dollar is lower across the board as dealers attribute the selling to month-end pressures ahead of the FOMC today and ECB tomorrow and long-holiday weekend for many. Japan’s Golden Week holiday has already begun. Despite the loss in US equities yesterday, despite the higher opening,...
Read More »FX Daily, April 28: Oil’s Slides before Steadying, while Easing of Lockdowns Support Risk-Taking
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.04% to 1.0563 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, April 28(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Equities are building on yesterday’s gains. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose 2% yesterday and edged higher today. Shanghai and Austalia stand out as exceptions. In Europe, the Dow Jones Stoxx 600 is extending yesterday’s 1.8% gain to reach its best level since March 11. Today would be...
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