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SNB & CHF

FX Weekly Review, October 17-21: Golden Cross in Dollar Index and Deadman’s Cross in the Euro

Swiss Franc Currency Index The Swiss Franc index was lagging once again compared to the dollar index. The dollar index is up exactly 3% this month, while the CHF index is down 2%. The EUR/CHF has reached the SNB intervention area at the “new floor area of 1.08 to 1.0850. On Monday we will learn about the latest SNB interventions in our weekly sight deposits. Trade-weighted index Swiss Franc, October 22 2016(see...

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SNB verteilt Bussenzettel über 1,5 Milliarden pro Jahr

Am 15. Januar 2015 hat die Schweizerische Nationalbank (SNB) erstmals Negativzinsen anstelle des Mindestkurses eingeführ. Unmittelbar danach stürzte der Euro um 20 Prozent ab und erholte sich seither auf knapp 1.10 zum Franken. Klarer und eindeutiger kann man nicht vordemonstriert bekommen, dass Negativzinsen den Euro nicht stärken, den Franken nicht schwächen. Negativzinsen bringen nichts – ausser Gewinne für die...

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Roche revenue gains as sales of breast cancer drugs soar

Roche Holding AG’s third-quarter revenue rose 4.5 percent as its trio of breast-cancer therapies offset stagnating sales of some of its older drugs. Sales climbed to 12.5 billion Swiss francs ($12.6 billion), the Basel, Switzerland-based company said in a statement on Thursday. That compared with the 12.6 billion-franc average estimate of nine analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. Roche doesn’t report third-quarter...

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Nestle forecasts slowest sales growth in decade as pricing ebbs

Nestle SA forecast the slowest full-year sales growth in more than a decade as food companies worldwide struggle against consumer resistance to price increases. Revenue will gain about 3.5 percent on an organic basis in 2016, the Vevey, Switzerland-based maker of Nespresso coffee said Thursday, abandoning a goal for an increase of about 4.2 percent. Growth in the consumer-goods industry is “relatively fragile,” Chief...

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Demographics and a New Old Paradigm

Summary: The hangover from the debt crisis and secular stagnation are the two main explanatory models for the low growth and low interest rates. Anew Fed paper brings the focus back to demographics. If true, warns of a protracted period of slow growth, low interest rates. There are two main interpretative frameworks that seek to explain the slow growth and low interest rates. The first is associated with...

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Welcome to Neocolonialism, Exploited Peasants!

The U.S. peasantry has been stripmined exactly like the powerless colonial peasantry in the old colonial model. In my latest interview with Max Keiser, Max asked a question of fundamental importance: (I paraphrase, as the interview has not yet been posted): now that the current iteration of capitalism has occupied every corner of the globe, where can it expand to for its “growth”? We all know how old-fashioned...

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FX Daily, October 21: Greenback Ending Week on Firm Note

Swiss Franc The EUR/CHF ended the evening at 1.0810. The question is if the SNB was intervening or not. We are convinced that the “new floor” is the area between 1.08 and 1.0850. Hence there should be stronger interventions going on. EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, October 21 2016(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar is firm especially against the European complex and emerging...

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The Great Physical Gold Supply & Demand Illusion

Submitted by Koos Jansen from Bullionstar.com Gold supply and demand data published by all primary consultancy firms is incomplete and misleading. The data falsely presents gold to be more of a commodity than a currency, having caused deep misconceptions with respect to the metal’s trading characteristics and price formation. Numerous consultancy firms around the world, for example Thomson Reuters GFMS, Metals Focus,...

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Great Graphic: Italian Banks and a German Bank

Summary: DB and Italian bank stocks have been moving in tandem. They suffer from fundamentally different problems. The euro has been selling off as the bank shares rebound. European banks may not be the main driver of the investment climate, but their challenges are not resolved.  Investors have focused on two country’s banks recently. Germany’s Deutsche Bank and Italian banks more generally. This Great...

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Swiss Markets Review: SMI underperforms global stocks

SMI The Swiss Market Index is set to finish the week largely unchanged while global stocks gain on positive US third quarter earnings results, favourable central bank statements and a rallying oil price. SMI Index, October 22. - Click to enlarge Economic Data The S&P 500 saw its biggest advance since September on Wednesday after US banking giants Citigroup, JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo all posted...

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