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Tag Archives: FX Trends

FX Daily, January 2: Dollar Slump Accelerates

Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.03% to 1.1703 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, January 02(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar’s slump seen in the final two weeks of 2017 is carried into today’s activity. The greenback’s sell-off extends to the emerging market currencies as well. The Hungarian forint is the strongest rising nearly 1%, ostensibly...

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Petro-Yuan? Really?

The launch of futures on Bitcoins was rushed so quickly through the regulatory channels that the anticipation was short-lived. And as the recent price action amply demonstrates, the existence of a derivative market has not tamed the digital token’s volatility. It is still the early days, but Bitcoin futures do not look likely to change the world. On the other hand, any day now China is expected to launch a futures...

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Emerging Markets: What has Changed

Summary Fitch upgraded Indonesia by a notch to BBB with stable outlook. EU-Poland tensions entered a new phase. Cyril Ramaphosa was elected as the new ANC President over opponent Nkosazana Dlamini-Zuma. Argentina’s lower house approved President Macri’s pension reform bill. Sebastian Pinera won the Chilean presidency in the second round vote. Mexico political risk is rising as the PRI slush money scandal widens....

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FX Daily, December 27: What Happened on Boxing Day?

Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.32% to 1.1763 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, December 27(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates There were several developments on the day after Christmas, while many markets remained closed and investors sidelined.   One of the most important developments was the euro’s complete recovery from the flash crash of nearly three...

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FX Daily, December 19: US Equities Set Pace, While Greenback Consolidates Inside Monday’s Ranges

Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.48% to 1.1666 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, December 19(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge GBP/CHF The pound has risen against the Swiss Franc as we get closer to understanding just what Brexit means for the UK and global concerns ease, weakening the Franc. The pound is essentially a barometer of progress on Brexit whilst the Swissie...

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Great Graphic: Sterling Toys with Three-Year Downtrend Line

Summary Sterling is the second major currency this year after the euro (and its shadow the Danish krone). The downtrend line from mid-2014 is fraying. Is this the breakout? Sterling has trended higher against the dollar this year, and after the euro (and its Danish shadow), sterling is the strongest of the majors, with an 8.5% gain against the greenback. The gains have brought to to the trend line dawn off the...

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Weekly Technical Analysis: 18/12/2017 – USD/CHF, USD/JPY, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, EUR/CHF

USD/CHF The USDCHF pair traded with clear negativity yesterday to break 0.9892 level and settles below it, which stops the recently suggested positive scenario and put the price within the correctional bearish track again, noting that there is a bearish pattern that its signs appear on the chart, which means that breaking its neckline at 0.9840 will extend the pair’s losses to surpass 0.9800 and reach 0.9730 as a...

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FX Daily, December 18: Trade Tensions with China Set to Escalate

Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.10% to 1.165 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, December 18(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Trends The two main legislative initiatives in the US this year, the repeal of the Affordable Care Act and the tax changes, are not particularly popular. However, the next items on the agenda appear to enjoy broader support. The infrastructure...

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FX Weekly Preview: Policy Mix Underlines Positive Fundamental Backdrop for the Dollar

The prospects that the Republican-controlled legislative branch would find a compromise to tax cuts were enhanced when a few senators appeared to capitulate without much to show for it may have helped lift US stocks and dollar ahead of the weekend. Each chamber must now approve the reconciliation measure, which does not look particularly like either the House or Senate bills, though the regressive thrust was...

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FX Daily, December 15: Premium for Dollar-Funding is not Helping Greenback Very Much

Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.28% to 1.168 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, December 15(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The cross-currency basis swap continues to lurch in the dollar’s direction, especially against the euro, and yet the dollar is not drawing much support from it. The increasing cost reflects pressure for the year-end and does not appear to...

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