Summary US-China trade tensions are rising. Pakistan devalued the rupee for a third time since December. Bulgaria will seek to join the eurozone banking union and ERM-2 simultaneously. The National Bank of Hungary appears to have tilted more hawkish. Newly elected Egyptian President El-Sisi shuffled his cabinet. Argentina has a new central bank chief after Federico Sturzenegger resigned. Chile central bank signaled...
Read More »Gold Divergences Emerge
Bad Hair Day Produces Positive Divergences On Friday the ongoing trade dispute between the US and China was apparently escalated by a notch to the next level, at least verbally. The Trump administration announced a list of tariffs that are supposed to come into force in three week’s time and China clicked back by announcing retaliatory action. In effect, the US government said: take that China, we will now really hurt...
Read More »Union européenne. Les chiffres de la dette. LHK
L’histoire de la construction de l’Union européenne est avant tout une histoire d’endettement public. La preuve en un graphique: Le volume cumulée d’endettement de l’UE atteint en 2017 le chiffre respectable de 12, 46664 billions d’euros (à ne pas confondre avec le billion américain!). Cela revient à un endettement cumulé de 12 466 640 000 000 euros, soit 12 trillions d’euros (référence de mesure US) Maintenant, la...
Read More »Here We Go Again: Our Double-Bubble Economy
The bubbles in assets are supported by the invisible bubble in greed, euphoria and credulity. Well, folks, here we go again: we have a double-bubble economy in housing and stocks, and a third difficult-to-chart bubble in greed, euphoria and credulity. Feast your eyes on Housing Bubble #2, a.k.a. the Echo Bubble: S&P/Case-Shiller 2000-2018 - Click to enlarge Here’s the S&P 500 stock index (SPX): no bubble...
Read More »Switzerland remains biggest offshore wealth centre
Switzerland still attracts a lot of wealth The stock market boom boosted personal financial wealth around the globe by 12% last year – to the benefit of Switzerland. It is still the world’s biggest centre for managing offshore wealth at $2.3 trillion (CHF2.3 trillion). Figures revealed in a Boston Consulting Group reportexternal link published on Thursday put the country ahead of Hong Kong ($1.1 trillion) and Singapore...
Read More »Swiss Unemployment Continues to Fall
The number of registered unemployed in Switzerland dropped by 9% in May 2018 to a rate of 2.4%, down from 2.7% in April, according to a report by the State Secretariat for Economic Affairs (SECO). The rate in May 2018 was 22% lower than in May 2017. ©-Sculpies-_-Dreamstime.com_ - Click to enlarge Switzerland’s unemployment hasn’t been this low since 2008. In March 2018, SECO changed the way it calculates unemployment...
Read More »Switzerland’s parliament narrowly votes for women’s quotas on company boards
© Lovelyday12 | Dreamstime.com Yesterday, Switzerland’s National Council, or parliament, voted 95 to 94, with 3 abstentions, to introduce quotas for the management and boards of quoted companies. Boards will be required to have 30% women and management teams 20%. The rules could affect 250 companies. At the same time the quotas will not come with sanctions. Companies would have to explain why the quotas had not been met...
Read More »Recent Concerning Consumer Credit Trends Carry On Into April
US consumers continue to recover from their debt splurge at the end of last year. Combined with still weaker income growth, the Federal Reserve estimates that aggregate revolving credit balances grew only marginally for the fourth straight month in April 2018. To put it in perspective, the total for revolving credit (seasonally adjusted) is up a mere $2.2 billion for all four months of this year combined, compared to...
Read More »Swiss wage index 2017: Nominal wage increase of 0.4percent in 2017 – real wages decrease by 0.1percent
Neuchâtel, 11 June 2018 (FSO) -The Swiss nominal wage index rose by +0.4% on average in 2017 compared with 2016. It settled at 101.1 points (base 2015 = 100). Given an average annual inflation rate of +0.5%, real wages registered a decrease of -0.1% (101.0 points, base 2015 = 100) according to calculations by the Federal Statistical Office (FSO). Development of nominal wages to the consumer prices and real wages...
Read More »Financial watchdog accuses Raiffeisen of major governance failings
The former chief executive of Raiffeisen bank in Switzerland, Pierin Vincenz, spent 15 weeks behind bars. Vincenz was released on Wednesday (Keystone) The Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority (FINMA) has concluded its investigation into Swiss bank Raiffeisen, saying it identified “serious shortcomings” in governance. “FINMA has found that the bank’s handling of conflicts of interest was inadequate,” the...
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