On his blog, JP Koning reports that [b]oth the Christmas bump and the sawtooth pattern arising from monthly payrolls are less noticeable than previous years. But these patterns remain more apparent for Canadian dollars than U.S. dollars. Not because Canadians like cash more than Americans. We don’t, and are probably further along the path towards digital payments then they are. Rather, the percentage of U.S. dollars held overseas is much larger than Canadian dollars, so domestic usage of...
Read More »Cash Holdings Have Become Less Cyclical
On his blog, JP Koning reports that [b]oth the Christmas bump and the sawtooth pattern arising from monthly payrolls are less noticeable than previous years. But these patterns remain more apparent for Canadian dollars than U.S. dollars. Not because Canadians like cash more than Americans. We don’t, and are probably further along the path towards digital payments then they are. Rather, the percentage of U.S. dollars held overseas is much larger than Canadian dollars, so domestic usage of...
Read More »Germany, or the Bundesbank Caves In
In the FAZ, Philip Plickert reports that Deutsche Bundesbank changed its terms of business. Starting August 25, the Bundesbank may refuse cash transactions with a bank if the Bundesbank fears that, counter to the bank’s assurances, the cash transaction might help the bank or its customers evade sanctions or restrictions with the aim to impede money laundering or terrorism finance. Conveniently, this will allow the Bundesbank to reject a request by European-Iranian Handelsbank to withdraw...
Read More »Germany, or the Bundesbank Caves In
In the FAZ, Philip Plickert reports that Deutsche Bundesbank changed its terms of business. Starting August 25, the Bundesbank may refuse cash transactions with a bank if the Bundesbank fears that, counter to the bank’s assurances, the cash transaction might help the bank or its customers evade sanctions or restrictions with the aim to impede money laundering or terrorism finance. Conveniently, this will allow the Bundesbank to reject a request by European-Iranian Handelsbank to withdraw...
Read More »Kontantupproret
Kontantupproret (“cash rebellion”) in Sweden—not everybody is pleased with the prospect of a cashless society. David Crouch reports in The Guardian.
Read More »Cash Demand
On VoxEU, Clemens Jobst and Helmut Stix argue that … cash balances for transactions comprise only a modest share of overall cash demand (a rough estimate of 15% might be a good guess across richer economies). … changes in currency in circulation are dominated by motives like hoarding. While transaction demand is reasonably well researched … still too little is known about non-transaction demand in general, and recent increases in particular.
Read More »Why India’s Demonetization Didn’t Work as Expected
On his blog, JP Koning offers two explanations for the surprisingly high rupee notes redemption rate—nearly 99%—after last year’s demonetization experiment: Money laundering, and a partial amnesty. Indians who had large quantities of illicit cash were able to contract with those who had room below their ceiling to convert illicit rupees on their behalf … Two weeks after the initial … announcement, the government introduced a formal amnesty for demonetized banknote holders. Any deposit of...
Read More »Marvin Goodfriend, the Fed’s Board of Governors, and Negative Rates
In the FT, Sam Fleming and Demetri Sevastopulo report that the White House considers Marvin Goodfriend for the Federal Reserve’s Board of Governors. He has criticised the Fed’s crisis-era balance sheet expansion, saying the central bank should generally not purchase mortgage-backed securities, and has advocated the use of monetary policy rules to guide policy, as has Mr Quarles. … At the same time, however, Mr Goodfriend has been willing to contemplate the use of deeply negative rates to...
Read More »Zimbabwe’s Monetary Policy
On his blog, JP Koning provides an account of recent monetary policy in Zimbabwe: The country dollarized in 2008. The central bank offered USD deposit accounts for banks, specifically for inter bank payments. But these accounts were not fully backed by USDs, or the central bank rationed access to USDs for other reasons (early 2016). Banks got squeezed, bank customers started a run, and the government imposed withdrawal limits. Retailers started to charge higher prices for “plastic money”...
Read More »Money Without a Government II
On his blog, JP Koning discusses the case of Somalia which has managed without central bank issued money for decades. Old, legitimate notes and newer, counterfeit notes trade at the same price which equals the cost of producing counterfeits. See also this previous post.
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