It seemed that it was only after Asian equity markets fell did reports begin suggesting disappointment with the G20 meeting. The narrative followed the price action rather than the other way around. Before that, at least, one newswire claimed China was the winner of at the G20 meeting. Its currency policy was not criticized. Many, including US Treasury Secretary Lew, welcomed China's clear communication and commitment to avoid a large depreciation of the yuan. The final statement...
Read More »Dollar Mixed, While Equities Skid
It seemed that it was only after Asian equity markets fell did reports begin suggesting disappointment with the G20 meeting. The narrative followed the price action rather than the other way around. Before that, at least, one newswire claimed China was the winner of at the G20 meeting. Its currency policy was not criticized. Many, including US Treasury Secretary Lew, welcomed China's clear communication and commitment to avoid a large depreciation of the yuan. The final statement...
Read More »Gold-Silver Ratio Breakout Report, 28 Feb, 2016
The gold to silver ratio moved up very sharply this week, +4.2%. How did this happen? It was not because of a move in the price of gold, which barely budged this week. It was due entirely to silver being repriced 66 cents lower. This ratio is now 83.2. It takes 83.2 ounces of silver to buy an ounce of gold. Conversely, it takes 1/83.2oz (about 0.37 grams) of gold to buy an ounce of silver. This ratio is now within a hair’s breadth of breaking out past the high set on Oct 17, 2008. See the...
Read More »Gold-Silver Ratio Breakout Report, 28 Feb, 2016
The gold to silver ratio moved up very sharply this week, +4.2%. How did this happen? It was not because of a move in the price of gold, which barely budged this week. It was due entirely to silver being repriced 66 cents lower. This ratio is now 83.2. It takes 83.2 ounces of silver to buy an ounce of gold. Conversely, it takes 1/83.2oz (about 0.37 grams) of gold to buy an ounce of silver. This ratio is now within a hair’s breadth of breaking out past the high set on Oct 17, 2008. See the...
Read More »Central Banks Shiny New Tool: Cash-Escape-Inhibitors
Submitted by JP Koning via Moneyness blog, Negative interests rates are the shiny new thing that everyone wants to talk about. I hate to ruin a good plot line, but they're actually kind of boring; just conventional monetary policy except in negative rate space. Same old tool, different sign. What about the tiering mechanisms that have been introduced by the Bank of Japan, Swiss National Bank, and Danmarks Nationalbank? Aren't they new? The SNB, for instance, provides an exemption...
Read More »Central Banks Shiny New Tool: Cash-Escape-Inhibitors
Submitted by JP Koning via Moneyness blog, Negative interests rates are the shiny new thing that everyone wants to talk about. I hate to ruin a good plot line, but they're actually kind of boring; just conventional monetary policy except in negative rate space. Same old tool, different sign. What about the tiering mechanisms that have been introduced by the Bank of Japan, Swiss National Bank, and Danmarks Nationalbank? Aren't they new? The SNB, for instance, provides an exemption...
Read More »Baker’s Dozen: 13 Items that Should be on Your Radar Screen
The year has begun on a tumultuous note. The Nikkei, DAX and S&P 500 all gapped lower the first day of the year. However, heightened anxiety has calmed as the fire appears to have burnt itself out, and equities have moved higher over the past two week. Three sources of stress have eased. Investors are no longer taking their cues by what happens to Chinese stocks. Nevertheless, both the Shanghai and Shenzhen Composites are posting small gains for the month of February, unlike...
Read More »Baker’s Dozen: 13 Items that Should be on Your Radar Screen
The year has begun on a tumultuous note. The Nikkei, DAX and S&P 500 all gapped lower the first day of the year. However, heightened anxiety has calmed as the fire appears to have burnt itself out, and equities have moved higher over the past two week. Three sources of stress have eased. Investors are no longer taking their cues by what happens to Chinese stocks. Nevertheless, both the Shanghai and Shenzhen Composites are posting small gains for the month of February, unlike...
Read More »Smugglers go hi-tech
Customs officials are discovering increasingly sophisticated hiding places for smuggled goods in cars. Geneva border guards demonstrate secret flaps that can only be opened with ingenious mechanisms. (SRF, swissinfo.ch) --- swissinfo.ch is the international branch of the Swiss Broadcasting Corporation (SBC). Its role is to report on Switzerland and to provide a Swiss perspective on international events. For more articles, interviews and videos visit swissinfo.ch or subscribe to our YouTube...
Read More »Small Changes in Speculative Positioning in the Futures Market
The position adjustment among speculators in the currency futures market were minor in the reporting week that ended February 23. There was only one gross adjustment we regard as significant (more than 10k contracts). The Mexican officials sprung a bear trap and forced speculators to cover. There were 15.8k gross short peso in speculative hands that were bought back, leaving 83k contracts still short. Despite the minor adjustments elsewhere, two patterns were clear. First,...
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