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SNB & CHF

Is It Safe To Travel To Europe?

Lurid Media Coverage In recent months, more and more of our clients and friends from overseas are asking us whether it is safe to travel to Europe. These fears are understandable, given the media coverage of the tragic events that occurred this year. The press painted a sinister and truly graphic picture of Europe as a war zone, as a target of global terrorism. The attacks in Brussels, the horrors we saw in Nice on...

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Weekly Speculative Positions: More Bearish Euros and CHF, Less Bullish the Yen

With the strong ISM non-manufacturing PMI last week, long positions on the dollar are increasing, while speculators increase their euro and Swiss Franc shorts. CHF net shorts increased to 9.4 K positions. That the euro has depreciated against CHF, is possibly caused by real, non-speculative money into CHF, i.e. money in the form of cash and stock purchases. We will get more information tomorrow when the SNB sight...

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FX Weekly Review, October 10-14: Rates Still Key to Dollar’s Outlook

Swiss Franc Currency Index The Swiss Franc index had once again a bad stance against the dollar index. The CHF index was down 1%. The dollar index, however, improved. Trade-weighted index Swiss Franc, October 15 2016(see more posts on Swiss Franc Index, ). - Click to enlarge Swiss Franc Currency Index (3 years) The Swiss Franc index is the trade-weighted currency performance (see the currency...

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Hydrogen-powered street sweeper hits the road

Over the next two years, the municipality of Dübendorf, in canton Zurich, will be testing a hydrogen powered street cleaning vehicle. The trial is intended to show the viability of hydrogen power for everyday use. (SRF, swissinfo.ch) --- swissinfo.ch is the international branch of the Swiss Broadcasting Corporation (SBC). Its role is to report on Switzerland and to provide a Swiss perspective on international events. For more articles, interviews and videos visit swissinfo.ch or subscribe...

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Where Will All the Money Go When All Three Market Bubbles Pop?

Since the stock, bond and real estate markets are all correlated, it’s a question with no easy answer. The Everything Bubble Everyone who’s not paid to be in denial knows stocks, bonds and real estate are in bubbles of one sort or another. The Housing Bubble Real estate is either an echo bubble or a bubble that exceeds the previous bubble, depending on how attractive the market is to hot-money investors. S&P /...

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Swiss cross-border shopping declines

via 20 Minutes. Residents of German-speaking Switzerland appear to doing less shopping across the border, something that has also been observed in Geneva. According to the newspaper the Handelszeitung, Swiss cross-border shopping peaked in 2015 and local customs posts have seen a decline in VAT and duty collected since March. At the border in Kreuzlingen, near Lake Constance, VAT and import duty collected was down 10%....

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Swiss Producer and Import Price Index, September 2016: +0.3 percent MoM, -0.1 percent YoY

The Producer Price Index (PPI) or officially named "Producer and Import Price Index" describes the changes in prices for producers and importers. For us it is interesting because it is used in the formula for the Real Effective Exchange Rate. When producers and importers profit on lower price changes when compared to other countries, then the Swiss Franc reduces its overvaluation. The Swiss PPI values of -6% in 2015...

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FX Daily, October 14: Firm Dollar Consolidating, Awaiting US Retail Sales

Swiss Franc  EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, October 14 2016(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar is firm against most of the major currencies, but within yesterday’s ranges, which seems somewhat fitting amid the light new stream. The high-yielding Australian and New Zealand dollars are resisting the stronger greenback, while on the week the Aussie and the Canadian dollar are the...

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Great Graphic: China’s PPI and Commodities

Summary: China’s PPI rose for the first time in four years. It is related to the rise in commodities. Yet there are good reasons there is not a perfect fit between China’s PPI and commodity prices. US and UK CPI to be reported next week, risk is on the upside. China reported its first increase in producer prices in four years earlier today.  As one might suspect, producer prices are often driven by commodity...

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Global stocks at lowest levels since July

SMI The Swiss Market Index is set to finish the week lower, but outperforming global stocks, thanks to a strong week of luxury good stocks. SMI Index, October 15. - Click to enlarge Economic Data Global stocks fell to their lowest levels since July on Thursday as investors rushed to the safety of government bonds, yen and gold after renewed concerns over weakness in the Chinese economy and as the Federal Reserve...

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