SNB & CHF

The first ever first 'Fly-In' has been held in canton Solothurn, showcasing a range of electric or hybrid-powered aircraft. Cornelia Ruppert presented the Archaopteryx , an electrified glider, especially adapted to land in a tight spot. (Julie Hunt, swissinfo.ch)  --- swissinfo.ch is the international branch of the Swiss Broadcasting Corporation (SBC). Its role is to report on Switzerland and to provide a Swiss perspective on international events. For more articles, interviews and videos...

 – British people suddenly stopped buying cars – Massive debt including car loans, very low household savings – Brexit and decline in sterling and consumer confidence impacts – New cars being bought on PCP by people who could not normally afford them – UK car business has ‘exactly the same problems’ as the mortgage market 10 years ago, according to Morgan Stanley – Bank of England is investigating to make sure UK banks...

The Bank of Canada “raised rates” again today, this time surprising markets and economists who were expecting more distance between the first and second policy adjustments. The central bank paid typical lip service to being data dependent. It has a vested interest if you, as any Canadian reader, believe that to be a fact. But what we really find in Canada is what we find everywhere else. The end of the “rising dollar”...

Swiss National Bank leaves expansionary monetary policy unchanged The Swiss National Bank (SNB) is maintaining its expansionary monetary policy, with the aim of stabilising price developments and supporting economic activity. Interest on sight deposits at the SNB is to remain at –0.75% and the target range for the three-month Libor is unchanged at between –1.25% and –0.25%. The SNB will remain active in the foreign...

(The next leg of the business trip takes me to Frankfurt. Sporadic updates will continue) Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.14% to 1.147 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, September 13(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates We have been identifying the $1.3430 area is a reasonable technical target for sterling. It represents the 50% retracement of sterling’s losses...

Some 52 million passengers took off, landed or transited via Swiss airports last year. But while the number of passengers continues to soar, there are fewer planes in operation than in 2000. There are now fewer planes in circulation, but they have much bigger capacities, like this Airbus A380 taking off from Zurich Airport (Keystone) - Click to enlarge In 2016, Switzerland’s national airports in Zurich, Geneva...

 – Buy gold for long term as fiat money is doomed warns Frisby– Gold’s “winning streak” will continue in long term– September is traditionally a good month for gold, as we head into the Indian wedding season– “It’s just a matter of time before gold comes good again…”by Dominic Frisby, Money Week Today folks, by popular demand, we’re talking gold. It’s had a nice summer run. What now? Gold Daily, Jul 2010 - Oct 2017(see...

In January 2016, just as the wave of “global turmoil” was cresting on domestic as well as foreign shores, retired Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke was giving a series of lectures for the IMF. His topic wasn’t really the so-called taper tantrum of 2013 but it really was. Even ideologically blinded economists like Bernanke could see how one might have followed the other; the roots of 2016 in 2013. In May and June of...

The Producer Price Index (PPI) or officially named “Producer and Import Price Index” describes the changes in prices for producers and importers. For us it is interesting because it is used in the formula for the Real Effective Exchange Rate. When producers and importers profit on lower price changes when compared to other countries, then the Swiss Franc reduces its overvaluation. The Swiss PPI values of -6% in 2015...

See the introduction and the video for the terms gold basis, co-basis, backwardation and contango.  Fundamental Developments There were big moves in the metals markets this week. The price of gold was up an additional $21 and that of silver $0.30. Will the dollar fall further?As always, we are interested in the fundamentals of supply and demand as measured by the basis. But first, here are the charts of the prices of...