SNB & CHF

Comment on GBP and CHF by Jonathan Watson My articles My siteAbout meMy booksFollow on:TwitterLinkedIN Swiss Franc The Swiss Franc is a safe haven currency and benefits in time of uncertainty. With Donald Trump now looking much more likely to win the Election the Swissie has found favour. If you are buying the Franc with sterling in the future the combination of global uncertainty and a weak pound looks set...

  Only Sell Stocks in Recessions? We were recently made aware of an interview at Bloomberg, in which Tony Dwyer of Cannacord and Brian Wieser of Pivotal Research were quizzed on the recently announced utterly bizarre AT&T – Time Warner merger. We were actually quite surprised that AT&T wanted to buy the giant media turkey. Prior to the offer, TWX still traded 50% below the high it had reached 17 years ago. The...

Long before the UK referendum, many argued that monetary union was undermining the European Union. Many had expected Greece to be forced out not once but twice. There is a cottage industry of books forecasting the demise of EMU. Johan Van Overtveldt, the former Finance Minister of Belgium, penned “End of the Euro” in 2011 and its captures the spirit of the genre. Jen Nordvig, a currency strategist, authored “The Fall...

Introduction by George Dorgan My articles About meMy booksFollow on:TwitterFacebookGoogle +YoutubeSeeking AlphaCFA SocietyLinkedINEconomicBlogs Summary: The risk that the eurozone implodes over the next year has risen, but is still modest. Italy has surpassed Greece as the most likely candidate. The December referendum is the second part of Renzi’s political reforms. Sentix conducts investor surveys...

  From the official news release Interim results of the Swiss National Bank as at 30 September 2016 The Swiss National Bank (SNB) reports a profit of CHF 28.7 billion for the first three quarters of 2016. A valuation gain of CHF 7.5 billion was recorded on gold holdings. The profit on foreign currency positions amounted to CHF 20.3 billion. The SNB’s financial result depends largely on developments in the gold, foreign exchange and capital markets. Strong fluctuations are...

We have always emphasized that the SNB intervenes between 1.08 and 1.0850. Even if there was no change in sight deposits the 1.08 “line in sand” broke. Via ForexLive US election jitters kicked in yesterday as concerns grow on the fall-out and we’ve seen a sharp rise in the franc across the board EURCHF yesterday fell through 1.0800 which has been widely perceived as the SNB unofficial CHF cap but they’ve been...

Comment on Swiss Franc by George Dorgan My articles About meMy booksFollow on:TwitterFacebookGoogle +YoutubeSeeking AlphaCFA SocietyLinkedINEconomicBlogs EUR/CHF Swiss Franc: The EUR/CHF has fallen again to the SNB intervention levels of 1.08. The dollar has depreciated by more than 1%. Who has followed our blog, knows that the Franc is a proxy for global growth, in particular Emerging Markets. Today’s...

Introduction by George Dorgan My articles About meMy booksFollow on:TwitterFacebookGoogle +YoutubeSeeking AlphaCFA SocietyLinkedINEconomicBlogs The Used Goods Question Retail sales in several countries like Germany, Italy, Japan and Switzerland continue to fall. In the United States they have strongly risen recently. We should remind readers, that used goods sold via Ebay or similar, are not contained in...

See the introduction and the video for the terms gold basis, co-basis, backwardation and contango. Hillary Clinton and FBI chief James Comey. As absurd as this must appear to anyone looking at the situation in a detached manner, anything that might endanger Ms. Clinton’s election victory seems to be seen as negative for market confidence. - Click to enlarge Confidence Speculation Twice last week, the prices of the...

Collectivism Across Party Lines “There is nobody in this country who got rich on his own — nobody.” – Elizabeth Warren, campaign speech 2011 “If you’ve got a business – you didn’t build that. Somebody else made that happen.” – Barack Obama, campaign speech 2012 Barack Obama - Click to enlarge If you acquire any possessions by economic means, this is to say by your own efforts, serving consumers in voluntary...