Tag Archives: USD

Summary: Biggest change is that Fed sees three instead of two hikes next year. Minor tweaks in the forecasts. Fiscal policy could raise the long-run growth potential, which would be a net good but not needed to reach full employment. As has been tipped since at September the Federal Reserve increased the Fed funds target range by 25 bp to 50-75 bp.  The market’s understanding of the Fed reaction function and the...

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, December 15(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge Sterling has made steady gains against the CHF over the past month and although the spike has levelled this week, the Pound has certainly gained a foothold. Yesterday’s decision by the US Federal Reserve to raise their base rate from 0.25% to 0.5% did little to shift the value of GBP/CHF but with investors...

I had the privilege of joining Scarlet Fu and Joe Wisenthal on the set of What’d You Miss on Bloomberg TV yesterday afternoon. It was within a couple of hours of the second Fed rate hike in a decade.   The dollar rallied.I was surprised by the changed forecasts.  The median forecast, which is not the same thing as the Fed view, edged about 25 bp higher across the forecasting horizon. I had thought the the aspirational...

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, December 14(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge The Pound is entering mid-December in the same fashion it begun the month after having a very strong November as well. After being buoyed by Donald Trump’s victory and the High Courts ruling that parliamentary approval is needed before invoking Article 50, the Pound has been boosted further after economic data...

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, December 14(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge The Pound is entering mid-December in the same fashion it begun the month after having a very strong November as well. After being buoyed by Donald Trump’s victory and the High Courts ruling that parliamentary approval is needed before invoking Article 50, the Pound has been boosted further after economic data...

Swiss Franc The EUR/CHF improved today. The OPEC-non-OPEC agreement was the reason. Always when oil gets more expensive, the euro, gold, CHF and the whole “Asian bloc” rises  against dollar and yen. Still it was astonishing that the euro improved more against USD than the inflation hedge CHF. Reason might be that investors now consider the ECB the most dovish central bank. Higher oil prices, however, may lead to more...

Swiss Franc The EUR/CHF improved today. The OPEC-non-OPEC agreement was the reason. Always when oil gets more expensive, the euro, gold, CHF and the whole “Asian bloc” rises  against dollar and yen. Still it was astonishing that the euro improved more against USD than the inflation hedge CHF. Reason might be that investors now consider the ECB the most dovish central bank. Higher oil prices, however, may lead to more...

Summary: FOMC meeting is the last highlight of the year. OPEC and non-OPEC producers strike a deal: optics good and that can lift prices further in near term. Italy will have a new Prime Minister, the fourth unelected PM. Provided that the Federal Reserve delivers the widely tipped and expected 25 bp hike in the Fed funds target range, the key to investors’ reaction will be a function of the FOMC statement and...

Summary: FOMC meeting is the last highlight of the year. OPEC and non-OPEC producers strike a deal: optics good and that can lift prices further in near term. Italy will have a new Prime Minister, the fourth unelected PM. Provided that the Federal Reserve delivers the widely tipped and expected 25 bp hike in the Fed funds target range, the key to investors’ reaction will be a function of the FOMC statement and...

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, December 09(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) Source: Investing.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The euro has stabilized after extending yesterday’s ECB-driven losses. The euro’s drop yesterday was the largest since the UK referendum to leave the EU. Ahead of the weekend, there may be some room for additional corrective upticks, but they will likely be limited, with the $1.0650...