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Tag Archives: USD

FX Daily, January 20: Trump Day

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, January 20(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge The Pound has recovered some its losses from early last week following the speech made by Prime Minister Theresa May which covered the Brexit issue. We could see further volatility going into next week though when the Supreme Court judgement is due to be released. Theresa May has already announced that she will...

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Great Graphic: Trade and Tariffs-End of an Era?

This Great Graphic was tweeted by the Financial Time’s John Authers, who got it from @fathomcomment. The green line is the inversion of global trade (right-hand scale). The blue line is a trade-weighted average global tariff rate. What the chart shows is that since 1990, the decline in the average tariff coincided with an increase in trade (remember green line is inverted). However, the as chart illustrates, around the...

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Draghi Lets Steam out of Euro

Summary: US reported stronger than expected series of data, including a large drop in weekly jobless claims for the week of the next NFP survey. Draghi remained dovish, with key phrases retained. Euro needs to break $1.0575 now to confirm a top is in place. Markets still uncertain ahead of the start of the new Administration. The combination of stronger US economy data and a dovish Draghi has seen the US...

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FX Daily, January 19: Dollar Gives Back Most of Yellen-Inspired Gains

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, January 19(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge GBP/CHF GBP/CHF has been range bound in recent weeks but anything but predictable! Of course one of the main, if not the main driver on this rollercoaster is the pound which has been much weaker and stronger according to the sentiments over the Brexit. On the whole the market is predicting the pound will be weaker...

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FX Daily, January 18: Markets Stabilize, Awaiting Fresh Cues

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, January 18(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge GBP/CHF Yesterday morning Theresa May, the UK Prime Minister set out a clear and realistic plan for the UK’s Brexit, which is likely to begin at the end of March this year. Many had expected to see her give a ‘Hard Brexit’ leaning speech and the Pound had lost value in the lead up to her comments, but when she...

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FX Daily, January 17: Trump’s Comments Send the Dollar Reeling

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, January 17(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge GBP/CHF The pound to Swiss Franc exchange rate rose today as investors were pleased by Theresa May’s comments about the Brexit. We are looking now at a more decisive Prime Minister Theresa May who has set out a plan and some objectives which if realised will create a much stronger and better Brexit than political...

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FX Daily, January 17: Trump’s Comments Send the Dollar Reeling

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, January 17(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge   GBP/CHF - British Pound Swiss Franc, January 17(see more posts on GBP/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar is broadly lower against major and emerging market currencies.  It has given up yesterday’s gains and more.  The proximate cause appears to be comments by President-elect Trump in a Wall...

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FX Daily, January 16: Hard Exit Talk Sent Sterling Below $1.20

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, January 16(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge FX Rates The euro has been sold to $1.0580 in the European morning, a cent lower from the pre-weekend high. In addition to the drag from sterling, the euro appears to have been sold in response to the interview in two European papers of the next US President.  Among other things, Trump reported claimed that NATO...

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FX Weekly Preview: Five Events that Will Drive the Capital Markets in the Week Ahead

Summary: Bank of Canada may be more upbeat following strong jobs and trade figures. China’s President Xi will speak at Davos and likely defend globalization and free trade, which some think the US is abandoning. UK PM May’s speech on Brexit may be blunted by few surprises, collapse of the government in Northern Ireland, and the pending Supreme Court ruling. ECB will leave rates on hold and look for Draghi to push...

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FX Daily, January 12: Dollar and Yields Ease Further, but Look for Recovery

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, January 12(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge If you are buying or selling the Swiss Franc the next week is vital to expectations. The pending Supreme court case will shape the next twist and turns of Brexit which in turn will of course affect the pound and also risk sentiments. I expect GBPCHF could easily slip below 1.20 if the Court Case is rejected, this...

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