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SMI Investors appear to be staying on the sidelines this week ahead of the weekend’s Italian referendum. Swiss stocks are set to finish the week lower, underperforming global equities as food giant Nestle and pharmaceutical heavyweights Roche and Novartis drag the index down. SMI Index, December 02 - Click to enlarge Economic Data It’s been a volatile trading week across financial markets. Oil prices jumped almost...

Each quarter, the SECO estimates the GDP and its components. The main purpose of these estimations is to provide data that allow for an assessment of the cyclical development of the main macroeconomic aggregats in a timely adequate and credible manner. Gross domestic product in the 3rd quarter of 2016 Bern, 02.12.2016 – Switzerland’s real gross domestic product (GDP) has remained almost unchanged in the 3rd quarter of...

from the official release Gross domestic product in the 3rd quarter of 2016 Bern, 02.12.2016 – Switzerland’s real gross domestic product (GDP) has remained almost unchanged in the 3rd quarter of 2016 (+0.0%). Consumption has contributed very little to growth. Investment in construction and equipment has supported GDP growth, while the trade balance in goods and services had a negative effect. On the production side,...

Marc Chandler - Click to enlarge I was on Bloomberg Television with Joe Wisenthal this afternoon. I explain what I have been suggesting for the past couple of weeks, namely that the Austrian presidential election this weekend is the third point in the populist-nationalist wave, not Italy. The changes in the Senate are opposed by a broad array of forces in Italy, including many very pro-European elements, like former...

Marc Chandler - Click to enlarge I was on Bloomberg Television with Joe Wisenthal this afternoon. I explain what I have been suggesting for the past couple of weeks, namely that the Austrian presidential election this weekend is the third point in the populist-nationalist wave, not Italy. The changes in the Senate are opposed by a broad array of forces in Italy, including many very pro-European elements, like former...

Neuchâtel, 29.11.2016 (FSO) – In the 3rd quarter 2016, total employment (number of jobs) rose by 0.3% in comparison with the same quarter a year earlier (-0.1% compared with the previous quarter). In full-time equivalents, employment in the same period remained unchanged. The Swiss economy counted 4,000 more vacancies than in the corresponding quarter of the previous year (+8.1%). The other indicators also showed...

Stock Markets EM ended last week on a somewhat firmer note, though we note divergences remain in place.  For the week, ZAR and KRW performed the best while TRY and BRL were the worst.  US jobs data Friday will draw some attention, though a December Fed rate hike is pretty much fully priced in.   China reports November PMI readings this week, and should show continued stabilization of the world’s second largest...

Summary: Forces emanating from the US and Europe are driving the capital markets. The moves may be stretched technically, but the market adjustment has further to run as not even two Fed hikes are discounted for next year. European political concerns and an ECB expected to continue its asset purchases have driven German 2-year yields to new record lows. There are powerful moves underway in the capital...

See the introduction and the video for the terms gold basis, co-basis, backwardation and contango. The Quality of Money “The problem with central banks is that they increase the quantity of money in the same way that the problem with piping sewage into a swimming pool increases the quantity of water.” It’s not really about the quantity, is it? It’s about the quality. We believe that millions of people can see that...

Summary: Perceptions of two trends shape the investment climate: reflation and nationalism. Fed rate hike set for next month, barring significant surprise. Japan’s trade surplus is growing even as imports and exports continue to contract. United States Around the middle of the year, St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard revealed his new economic approach. He argued that during economic phases, or...