Tag Archives: newsletter

- Click to enlarge I had to be on Bloomberg’s Day Break with David Westin and Alix Steel earlier today. We talked about the collapse of talks to put together a new coalition following the results of the September election. I suggested that the initial reaction was exaggerated, negotiations will likely resume in some fashion, and speculation of Merkel’s demise are premature. We also discussed Brexit. I opined that...

Hayek leads the world’s largest watchmaking group (Keystone) The chief executive of the Swatch Group, a leading Swiss manufacturer of watches and jewelry, is upbeat about business prospects for the coming year. Nick Hayek says the Swatch Groupexternal link hopes to reach the ambitious target of a 7%-9% increase in sales this year. “It is not impossible. It might work if sales in [November and December] are equally...

In recent years, there has been a major debate about the respective merits of gold versus Bitcoin, even though many, not all, gold bulls are also supporters of the latter. Gold advocates generally view favourably Bitcoin’s inherent characteristics of decentralisation, finite supply and ability to operate (so far) outside of the usual interference by western central banks. Having said that, the launch of Bitcoin futures...

– Brexit budget – Grim outlook as UK economic forecasts downgrade – UK Chancellor uses housing market policy as smoke-screen for deteriorating economy – UK budget matters more than ever due to BREXIT risks – Policy on stamp duty will fail to aid worsening housing market – Real GDP expected to grow by just 1.5%, 40% less than projections 2 years ago – Households now face an unprecedented 17 years of stagnation in...

Economic Nirvana “Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon,” economist and Nobel Prize recipient Milton Friedman once remarked.  He likely meant that inflation is the more rapid increase in the supply of money relative to the output of goods and services which money is traded for. Photo via mises.ca - Click to enlarge Famous Monetarist School representative Milton Friedman thought the US should adopt...

Summary: Coalition talks will resume in the coming days, and failing this a minority government is more likely than new elections. The is a general agreement among the political elites, and a hubris of small differences. The rate differentials and cross currency swaps show the incentive structure for holding dollars is increasing. Talks to forge a new coalition government in Germany passed the self-imposed...

USD/CHF The USDCHF pair broke 0.9892 level and settles below it now, which supports the continuation of our correctional bearish trend efficiently in the upcoming period, and the way is open to head towards 0.9800 level that represents our next main target. The EMA50 supports the negative overview, which will remain valid and active unless breaching 0.9930 followed by 0.9970 levels and holding above them. Expected...

Investors piled their crypto assets into the Tezos ICO in the summer (Reuters) - Click to enlarge A second class-action lawsuit has been lodged in the United States against the founders of the tokenised blockchain project Tezos, and the Swiss-based foundation that houses hundreds of millions of dollars of investors’ money. The law firm Silver Miller Law presented its complaintexternal link in Florida this...

Today Credit Suisse released its latest annual global wealth report, which traditionally lays out what has become the single biggest reason for the recent “anti-establishment” revulsion: an unprecedented concentration of wealth among a handful of people, as shown in Swiss bank’s infamous global wealth pyramid, an arrangement which as observed by the “shocking” political backlash of the past year, suggests that the lower...

Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.17% to 1.1635 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, November 21(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates There are a couple of exceptions to the inside trading days. First, the dovish twist to the minutes from the Reserve Bank of Australia’s recent meeting saw the Australian dollar make a marginal new five-month low of almost $0.7530 before...