Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.48% to 1.066 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, June 17(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Investors have not yet completely shaken off the angst that saw equities slide last week. All equity markets in the Asia Pacific region, but Japan, edged higher today, including China, India, and South Korea, where political/military tensions are elevated. Europe followed suit, and the...
Read More »FX Daily, June 2: Greenback’s Slide Continues
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.60% to 1.076 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, June 2(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Liquidity trumps everything else. US equities shrugged off the national guard being called into action in nearly a third of US states, and the S&P 500 closed yesterday at nearly three-month highs. Asia Pacific markets followed suit. Most markets in the region rose by more than 1%. The...
Read More »FX Daily, May 22: US-China Escalation Sinks Hong Kong and Hits Risk Appetites
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.42% to 1.0579 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, May 22(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The US has ratcheted up pressure on China on several fronts and has sapped risk appetites ahead of the weekend. Equity markets are lower across the world. Even in India, where the central bank unexpectedly cut the repo rate 40 bp, shares fell 0.7%. It was Hong Kong’s 5.5% that led the...
Read More »FX Daily, May 13: Will Powell have any more Luck Pushing against Negative Rate Expectations in the US?
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.08% to 1.0521 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, May 13(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Another late sell-off in US shares, this one perhaps related to the sobering assessment by the leading medical adviser for the Trump Administration about the risks of opening too early, failed to deter investors in the Asia Pacific region. Although Japanese shares slipped, most other...
Read More »FX Daily, April 27: Equities Rally and the Dollar Eases to Start the Week
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.42% to 1.0572 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, April 27(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Global equities are beginning the new week on an upbeat note. All the markets in the Asia Pacific region rallied, led by more than 2% gains in the Nikkei and Taiwan. European bourses are higher. All the industry groups are participating and financials and consumer discretionary...
Read More »An International Puppet Show
It’s actually pretty easy to see why the IMF is in a hurry to secure more resources. I’m not talking about potential bailout candidates banging down the doors; that’s already happened. The fund itself is doing two contradictory things simultaneously: telling the world, repeatedly, that it has a highly encouraging $1 trillion in bailout capacity at the same time it goes begging to vastly increase that amount. Very reassuring. The IMF is becoming like the Federal...
Read More »(No) Dollars And (No) Sense: Eighty Argentinas
India like many emerging market countries around the world holds an enormous stockpile of foreign exchange reserves. According to the latest weekly calculation published by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), the country’s central bank, that total was a bit less than half a trillion. While it sounds impressive, when the month began the balance was much closer to that mark. Over the last several crisis-filled weeks, officials in India have been fighting against a...
Read More »FX Daily, March 27: Nervousness Ahead of the Weekend
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.48% to 1.0573 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, March 27(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Officials appear to have persuaded investors that they have put into place measures that will cushion the economic blow and ensure that the financial system continues to function. After seemingly goading officials into action, investors are choosing not to resist. Moreover, there is a...
Read More »FX Daily, February 6: Stocks Push Higher but more Cautious Tone may be Emerging
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.07% to 1.071 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, February 6(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The bullish enthusiasm that carried the S&P 500 to new closing highs yesterday is helping Asia Pacific and European shares today. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose for the third session with Tokyo, Hong Kong, and Korea jumping two percent. Europe’s Dow Jones Stoxx 600 gapped to new...
Read More »Global Headwinds and Disinflationary Pressures
I’m going to go back to Mexico for the third day in a row. First it was imports (meaning Mexico’s exports) then automobile manufacturing and now Industrial Production. I’ll probably come back to this tomorrow when INEGI updates that last number for November 2019. For now, through October will do just fine, especially in light of where automobile production is headed (ICYMI, off the bottom of the charts). Mexico is, as I’ve been writing this week, the presumed...
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