Extrapolating The Recent Past Can Be Hazardous To Your Wealth “Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it,” remarked George Santayana over 100 years ago. These words, as strung together in this sequence, certainly sound good. But how to render them to actionable advice is less certain. Aren’t some facets of the past – like the floppy disk – not worth remembering? And aren’t others – like a first...
Read More »Switzerland waives post-Brexit visa requirement for British nationals
(Copyright 2019 The Associated Press. All Rights Reserved.) The Swiss government has dropped the requirement that British nationals obtain a visa to enter Switzerland for a lengthy stay after Britain leaves the European Union. The British government has also extended the same privilege to Swiss nationals wishing to enter Britain after Brexit. The decision was made by the seven-member Federal Council on Friday and will...
Read More »February 2019 PBOC/RMB Update
This will serve mostly as an update to what is going on inside the Chinese monetary system. The PBOC’s balance sheet numbers for February 2019 are exactly what we’ve come to expect, ironically confirmed today on the domestic end by the FOMC’s dreaded dovishness. Therefore, rather than rewrite the same commentary for why this continues to happen I’ll just link to prior discussions (here’s another). China...
Read More »Wunschdenken von Frau BR Amherd
Das VBS hat seit dem neuen Jahr eine Cheffin. Anlässlich der SOG-DV vom 16. März 2019 hat sie sich an die Offiziere gewandt und dabei einige interessante Äusserungen (Hervorhebungen durch den Autor) gemacht, so etwa zu den “Entwicklungen im internationalen Streitkräftebereich”: “Wir stellen steigende Verteidigungsausgaben, eine Ausrichtung auf die Bekämpfung hybrider Bedrohungsformen, ein erneutes Schwergewicht auf die...
Read More »Parliament rejects reform of health insurance scheme
A doctor’s visit – patients have to cover a level of costs before the health insurance pays in Switzerland (© Keystone / Christian Beutler) Patients will not have to pay out extra money for health services before the health insurance covers the costs, after parliament surprisingly threw out the controversial proposal on Friday. In a previous decision earlier this month, parliament had agreed to increase the deductible...
Read More »FOMC: Above Trend Growth Requires Continued Monetary Support
The Federal Reserve sounded more dovish than many expected and this prompted a 5-7 bp drop in US rates, and the dollar fell to new lows for the week against many of the major currencies. The median Fed forecast now anticipates no hike this year but one next year. The Fed will also taper the roll-off of its balance sheet and completing it by the end of September. In December, 11 officials anticipated two or three hikes...
Read More »Which Nations Will Crumble and Which Few Will Prosper in the Next 25 Years?
Adaptability and flexibility will be the core survival traits going forward. What will separate the many nations that will crumble in the next 25 years and those few that will survive and even prosper while the status quo dissolves around them? As I explain in my recent book Pathfinding our Destiny: Preventing the Final Fall of Our Democratic Republic, the factors that will matter are not necessarily cultural or...
Read More »FX Daily, March 22: Dreadful EMU PMI and US Machinations Rival Brexit for Attention
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.52% at 1.1221 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, March 22(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The S&P 500 recovered from the post-FOMC reversal to close a new 5-month high yesterday, led by technology. Financials were the only main sector to retreat. The large equity markets in Asia, Japan, China, Australia, South Korea, and...
Read More »Ist Geld in der Schweiz wirklich sicher?
Die Schweiz und der Franken gelten schon seit vielen Jahrzehnten als sicherer Hafen für Erspartes. Doch wie sicher ist es wirklich? Dieser Frage ging der Autor Marc Friedrich nach. [embedded content]...
Read More »Pound falls against the Swiss franc owing to third meaningful vote uncertainty
The pound has once again felt the impact of the uncertainty caused by Brexit and the pound has fallen against the Swiss franc during yesterday afternoon’s trading session. We are now just over a week away from when the UK is due to leave the European Union and the latest update is that the EU will allow an extension until the end of June if Theresa May can get her deal backed in the next few days. Last night the Prime...
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