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Tag Archives: Featured

Great Graphic: Median U.S. Income per Presidents

[unable to retrieve full-text content]Median household income was higher in 2015 than in 2008, but still below 1999 peak in real terms. The bottom fifth of households by income have just recouped what was lost. Income growth did best under (Bill) Clinton and Reagan, including for top 5%. Origin of strong dollar policy means it will not be used as a trade weapon and it hasn't since Bentsen.

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Emerging Markets: Preview of the Week Ahead

[unable to retrieve full-text content]EM ended the week on a soft note. Volatility is likely to remain high as markets are jittery and choppy ahead of the BOJ/FOMC meetings on Thursday. Dollar gains were broad-based last week, but EM certainly underperformed. China markets will reopen after a two-day holiday, but good news out of the mainland is doing little to help EM.

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Get Ready for a New Crisis – in Corporate Debt

[unable to retrieve full-text content]OUZILLY, France – We’re going back to basics here at the Diary. We’re getting everyone on the same page… learning together… connecting the dots… trying to figure out what is going on. We made a breakthrough when we identified the source of so many of today’s bizarre and grotesque trends. It’s the money – the new post-1971 dollar. This new dollar is green. You can buy things with it.

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Best Countries To Store Gold: How Did America, A Serial Defaulter, Make The Cut?

[unable to retrieve full-text content]An era of slowing growth, falling corporate profits, record debt levels, and currency debauchment has many investors buying gold as a bet against global central banks. Holding that gold outside the banking system, and for some, outside one’s own country, are increasingly popular options. Canada, Switzerland, and four other countries have particularly attractive characteristics.

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Janet Yellen’s Shame

[unable to retrieve full-text content]n honest capitalism, you do what you can to get other people to voluntarily give you money. This usually involves providing goods or services they think are worth the price. You may get a little wild and crazy from time to time, but you are always called to order by your customers.

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The Donald Versus Killary: War or Peace?

[unable to retrieve full-text content]War: A Warning from the Past. Although history does not exactly repeat itself, it does provide parallels and sometimes quite ominous ones. Such is the case with the current U.S. Presidential election and the one which occurred one hundred years earlier.

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The Strikingly Weak ISM Purchasing Manager Indices

  The Economy and the Stock Market As long time readers know, we are always paying close attention to the manufacturing sector, which is far more important to the US economy than is generally believed. In terms of gross output it is the largest sector of the economy, and it should of course be obvious that saving, investment and production are the only ways to create wealth. Contrary to what one often hears from...

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Swiss central bank keeps rates on hold as Brexit fallout clouds outlook

The post contains the main-stream view on the Swiss National Bank. It is the “continued intervention pledge“. But seven years post the financial we are in the second part of the business cycle. In the second part, the SNB must fear rising inflation more than the ECB. See here or in the two phases of CHF appreciation. For us, Brexit has not influenced the main driver of global GDP growth, U.S. or European consumers....

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