– Gold prices break 6 year down trend on safe haven demand (see charts)– Chinese gold demand set to surge 50% to 1,000 metric tonnes – Chinese demand for gold bars on track to surge more than 60 percent in 2017 – Geopolitical risk internationally leading to safe haven demand– UK election, terrorism and rising tensions in Middle East supporting gold after attacks in London and attacks in Iran today – Gold is 12.5% higher...
Read More »Tourist Accommodation in the Winter Season 2016/2017: Overnight stays Increased by 2.0 percent in Switzerland
Neuchâtel, 06.06.2017 (FSO) – The hotel sector registered 15.7 million overnight stays in Switzerland during the winter tourist season (from November 2016 to April 2017). This represents an increase of 2.0% (+314,000 overnight stays) compared with the same period a year earlier. With a total of 8.2 million overnight stays, foreign demand rose by 2.1% (+171,000). Domestic visitors registered a 1.9% increase (+143,000)...
Read More »FX Daily, June 06: Yen Propelled Higher
Swiss Franc The euro is lower at 1.0853 (-0.06%). EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, June 06(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge FX Rates The week was supposed to be dominated by the UK election and the ECB meeting, but the yen is stealing the show in the first part of the week. The US dollar has been sold through JPY110 for the first time since late April. The euro has fallen from JPY125.30 before the...
Read More »Stocks, Bonds, Euro, and Gold Go Up – Precious Metals Supply and Demand
See the introduction and the video for the terms gold basis, co-basis, backwardation and contango. Driven by Credit The jobs report was disappointing. The prices of gold, and even more so silver, took off. In three hours, they gained $18 and 39 cents. Before we try to read into the connection, it is worth pausing to consider how another market responded. We don’t often discuss the stock market (and we have not been...
Read More »Euro Shrugs off European Banking Woes
Summary: Spain’s Banco Popular is scrambling ahead of its meeting with the ECB tomorrow; shares are around 50% in three sessions. Italy has two banks that may see the same deal Monte Paschi negotiated with the EU. Portugal banks are still putting loan loss reserves and provisions aside. Eurozone The eurozone appears to be in rare form. The political threat that seemed so palpable at the start of the year has...
Read More »Deposit Bail In Risk as Spanish Bank’s Stocks and Bonds Crash
– Deposit bail in risk as stocks and bonds of Spanish bank – Banco Popular – crash – Banco Popular stock crashes most on record – down 63% this year to 34 euro cents – Spanish bank tells employees – “Don’t panic” – Risk of Spanish banking crisis as Banco Popular credit curve inverts – Banco Popular needs to find at least €4 billion more capital – analysts – Deposits over €100,000 (euro) vulnerable to bail-in – EU,...
Read More »The Path to Inflation: “Helicopter Money”
Yet conventional economists are virtually unanimous that deflation is the danger and inflation is a “good thing” we need to spur so servicing existing debt becomes easier for debtors. Due to the deflationary pressures of technology and stagnant wages for the bottom 90%, the consensus sees low inflation as far as the eye can see. When the consensus is near-100% on one side of the boat, we can safely bet Reality will not...
Read More »Great Graphic: Don’t be Misled by Sterling Stability, Investors are Concerned
The Great Graphic, created on Bloomberg, shows the options skew (three-month 25 delta risk reversal) in the white line, and sterling is the yellow line. The takeaway is that the market appears to be more nervous than the relatively firm sterling in the spot market suggests. Typically, one might expect those with sterling exposure to sell calls (and receive funds) rather than buy puts (new expenditure). The buyers...
Read More »FX Daily, June 05: US Dollar Starts Important Week Mostly Stable to Higher
Swiss Franc The euro is lower at 1.0854 (-0.06%). EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, June 05(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar is beginning what promises to be an important week on a steady to firmer note against most of the major currencies. It is a holiday in parts of Europe (e.g.,m Germany and Switzerland). Although excitement is not until Thursday’s ECB meeting, UK election, and...
Read More »Switzerland: Man Convicted For “Liking” Apparently Slanderous Facebook Comments
In the United States, a crazed racist is currently facing murder charges for stabbing multiple men who attempted to stop him from harassing two teenage girls. In a court appearance, he justified his murder of two Americans, one a military veteran, by citing “free speech.” On the other end of the spectrum, in Switzerland, a man was just convicted of liking Facebook comments that implied the plaintiff was racist,...
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