The primary example of globally synchronized growth has been Europe. Nowhere has more hope been attached to shifting fortunes. The Continent, buoyed by the persistence of central bankers like Mario Draghi, has not just accelerated it is actually booming. Or so they say. Last September, politicians were lining up to confidently declare as much, often deploying that specific word. When Jean-Claude Juncker gave his annual...
Read More »Gold price to remain trendless
The recent strength of the US dollar coupled with the rise of the US 10-year Treasury yield has weighed on the price of gold and silver. Since 19 April, gold has lost roughly 2.3%, while silver lost almost 4.5% in USD terms. At the start of the year, these two drivers were sending conflicting signals: higher US real rates were weighing on non-yielding gold, but the decline in the greenback was acting as a tailwind for...
Read More »BNS, Initiative Monnaie Pleine veut lui donner les pleins pouvoirs
- Click to enlarge «Monnaie pleine», la révolution bancaire L’initiative «Monnaie pleine», qui sera soumise au peuple le 10 juin prochain, entend radicalement transformer le système bancaire suisse. Si elle est acceptée, la BNS obtiendrait les pleins pouvoirs. Décryptage des risques et des enjeux L’initiative «Monnaie pleine», sur laquelle le peuple sera appelé à se prononcer le 10 juin prochain, demande que...
Read More »U.K. Home Prices Plunge 3.1percent In April – Largest Monthly Drop Since Financial Crisis In 2011
Halifax index shows property values plunged 3.1% in April Less volatile three-month measure also shows a decline U.K. home prices plunged the most in almost eight years in April, adding to signs of weakness in Britain’s property market. Values dropped 3.1 percent from March to an average 220,962 pounds ($299,140), mortgage lender Halifax said in a report Tuesday. That’s the biggest drop since September 2010. While that...
Read More »Switzerland most expensive for meat
Switzerland has the world’s most expensive meat according to a survey compiled by Caterwings in Germany. The survey, which looks at meat prices in 52 countries, ranks Swiss prices at the top across all meat categories. © Marian Mocanu | Dreamstime.com - Click to enlarge On average, Swiss shoppers pay 142% more than the average across all meat categories. Chicken, the meat with the highest price premium, is 222% more...
Read More »FX Daily, May 09: Oil Prices Surge and Dollar Gains Extended Post Withdrawal Announcement
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.29% to 1.1914 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, May 09(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar is broadly higher as the 10-year yield probes above 3.0%. Disappointing French industrial production and manufacturing data for March provided additional incentive, as if it were needed, to extend the euro’s losses. The euro...
Read More »Weekly Technical Analysis: 07/05/2018 – USD/JPY, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, Gold
USD/CHF The USDCHF pair’s recent trades are confined within mew minor bearish channel that we believe it forms bullish flag pattern, thus, the price needs to breach 1.0035 to activate the positive effect of this pattern followed by rallying towards our waited target at 1.0100. Therefore, we will continue to suggest the bullish trend supported by the EMA50, unless we witnessed clear break and hold below 1.0000. Expected...
Read More »Bi-Weekly Economic Review: Oil, Interest Rates & Economic Growth
The yield on the 10 year Treasury note briefly surpassed the supposedly important 3% barrier and then….nothing. So, maybe, contrary to all the commentary that placed such importance on that level, it was just another line on a chart and the bond bear market fear mongering told us a lot about the commentators and not a lot about the market or the economy. As I said last month, despite the recent run up in rates, the...
Read More »The Capital Structure as a Mirror of the Bubble Era
Effects of Monetary Pumping on the Real World As long time readers know, we are looking at the economy through the lens of Austrian capital and monetary theory (see here for a backgrounder on capital theory and the production structure). In a nutshell: Monetary pumping falsifies interest rate signals by pushing gross market rates below the rate that reflects society-wide time preferences; this distorts relative prices...
Read More »La question de Monnaie pleine induit-elle le votant en erreur?
Le peuple suisse doit, le 10 juin 2018, répondre à cette question: « Acceptez-vous l’initiative populaire « Pour une monnaie à l’abri des crises : émission monétaire uniquement par la Banque nationale ! (Initiative Monnaie pleine) » ? » Le oui à la question sous-entend que ce concept monétaire garantit la monnaie suisse et les avoirs bancaires d’une part, et d’autre part que l’ensemble des avoirs bancaires relèvent...
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