The important events take place in the second half of the week ahead: the ECB meeting and the US employment report. A dovish hold by the ECB is the most likely outcome. US jobs growth is bound to slow from the heady 304k gain in January, but there won’t be anything in it that lends credence to ideas that the world’s largest economy is on the precipice of a recession. The Brexit drama could be moving into its...
Read More »FX Daily, March 01: Could the Worst be Behind China and Germany? Or Hope Springs Eternal
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.14% at 1.1364 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, March 01(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: News that MSCI plans to substantially boost China’s equity weighting in its indices and a better than expected Caixin manufacturing PMI and some easing of India-Pakistan tensions helped bolster the risk-taking appetite going into the...
Read More »FX Daily, February 28: Trump Walks Away from North Korea. Should Beijing Worry?
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.39% at 1.134 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, February 28(see more posts on EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: News that the US-North Korean summit ended abruptly without an agreement spurred losses in equities and gains in the Swiss franc and Japanese yen. US President Trump willingness to walk away from the talks is important in and of...
Read More »FX Daily, February 27: Dollar Trades Heavily, While Prospects of a Softer and Later Brexit Send Sterling Higher
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.21% at 1.1366 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, February 27(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: As the North American session is about to begin, the markets await developments in the UK House of Commons where a vote is expected today on Prime Minister May’s proposal to hold votes on around March 12 on the Withdrawal Bill and no...
Read More »FX Daily, February 25: Dollar Thumped on Confirmation of Tariff Delay while Stocks Advance
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.18% at 1.1358 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, February 25(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The extension of the US-China tariff freeze had been telegraphed, but the confirmation is the single biggest driver of the day. Equities, led by a 5%+ advance in China, have rallied in Asia and Europe. Benchmark 10-year bond yields are...
Read More »FX Daily, February 22: Markets Ending Week with A Whimper
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.09% at 1.1333 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, February 22(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The global capital markets are winding down what appears to be an inconclusive week quietly and on a mixed note. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index is poised to snap a four-day advance but held on to a nearly 2% gain for the week. European...
Read More »FX Daily, February 21: Aussie Slammed by Dalian Coal Embargo, While Firmer Flash PMI does Euro Little Good
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.04% at 1.1347 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, February 21(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: merkets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The US dollar is firm against most major and emerging market currencies. There is more optimism on US-Chinese trade as a series of understandings are drafted, and an extension past March 1 of the tariff freeze is reportedly in the...
Read More »FX Daily, February 20: US-China Trade and Brexit Dominate Ahead of FOMC Minutes
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.12% at 1.1337 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, February 20(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The US dollar is narrowly mixed against the major currencies, but the strongest currency today is the Chinese yuan, following reports that US wants China to keep the yuan stable and not offset US tariffs with currency depreciation. The...
Read More »FX Daily, February 19: Investors Need Fresh Incentives
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.08% at 1.1345 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, February 19(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Activity in the global capital markets is subdued as investors await fresh developments. New wording for the Irish backstop apparently is being drafted. US-China trade talks resume. No decision has been made on US auto tariffs, but...
Read More »FX Daily, February 12: Dollar Buying Pressure Subsides
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.63% at 1.1388 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, February 12(see more posts on EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The Dollar Index’s eight-day advance is in jeopardy. Although the greenback recorded new highs against some major currencies, the momentum appears to be stalling. The news stream is constructive as a compromise seems to have been...
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