It was a shock, total disbelief given how everyone, and I mean everyone, had penciled China in as the world’s go-to growth engine. If the global economy was ever going to get off the ground again following GFC1 more than a half a decade before, the Chinese had to get back to their precrisis “normal.” In 2014, the clock was ticking but expectations were extremely high nonetheless. In September 2014, however, massive setback. Though it had been building all year by...
Read More »FX Daily, November 9: Markets are not Waiting for Official Closure in the US
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.84% to 1.0782 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, November 9(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge Overview: The new week has begun with robust risk appetites, driving stocks and stocks higher and sending the dollar broadly lower. Nearly all the equity markets in the Asia Pacific region gained more than 1%, except Malaysia and Indonesia. The Nikkei, which posted its highest close before the weekend in...
Read More »FX Daily, November 6: A Pause that Refreshens?
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.03% to 1.0685 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, November 6(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Investors have piled into risk assets this week, seemingly undeterred by the US elections’ lack of a clear outcome. The coronavirus is still surging, and a new complication has emerged. A mutation of the virus, originating in minks (Denmark), could pose a challenge in developing a...
Read More »FX Daily, November 4: Indecision Keeps Investors on Edge, but the Dollar Rides High
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.05% to 1.0682 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, November 4(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Initially, the markets built on Tuesday’s price action, but as soon as a few counties in Florida indicated that it was not going to be the “blue wave,” risk came off, and it was most evident in the bond and currency markets. Equities rallied in the Asia Pacific area, and all but Hong...
Read More »FX Daily, October 30: Investors Scared Before Halloween
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.07% to 1.0691 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, October 30(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Investors punished US tech giants for not delivering perfection as prices apparently had discounted, and the subsequent sell-off coupled with month-end dynamics has rocked global equities. Asia Pacific bourses were a sea of red, led by a 2.5% decline in the tech-heavy South Korean...
Read More »FX Daily. October 29: Markets Continue to Struggle
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.11% to 1.0681 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, October 29(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The spreading virus that is shutting down large parts of Europe, while the US is reluctant to return to lockdowns and refuses to have a nationwide requirement for masks in public hit risk assets yesterday. The S&P posted its largest decline in four-months yesterday (~3.5%), and...
Read More »FX Daily, October 28: Animal Spirits Called in Sick
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.34% to 1.068 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, October 28(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Sickened by the surging virus, animal spirits are bed-ridden today. Several European countries are experiencing the most fatalities and illnesses in several months, and policymakers are responded with national restrictions. In 32 US states, hospitalizations have surged by over 10% in...
Read More »FX Daily, October 27: Markets Take Collective Breath and Beijing Tweaks Fixing Mechanism
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.12% to 1.0727 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, October 27(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The surging pandemic sapped the risk-taking appetites as some investors hunker down for what could be a volatile period ahead. The S&P 500 lost nearly 3% at its lows before rebounding 1% in late dealings. However, the US’s fiscal stimulus remains highly likely even if not...
Read More »FX Daily, October 26: Troubling Start of the Important Week
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.05% to 1.0717 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, October 26(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The surging virus ravaging large parts of Europe and the United States is fanning concerns over the economic implications as new social restrictions and curfews are announced in several countries. US additional fiscal support remains elusive as aid for states and local governments...
Read More »FX Daily, October 23: Disappointing PMIs may Sharpen ECB’s Dovishness but the Euro Remains Firm
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.06% to 1.071 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, October 23(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The US dollar is finishing the week on a soft note, falling against all the major currencies. On the week, it is off by at least one percent against most of them, with the Australian and Canadian dollars and Japanese yen, laggards, rising 0.5%-0.75%. Emerging market currencies are...
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