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SNB & CHF

FX Daily, March 05: Italian Election Weighs on Italian Assets, but Little Systemic Risk Seen

Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.08% to 1.1549 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, March 05(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar is narrowly mixed. The Japanese yen remains firm. The dollar appears stuck in a narrow range. Near JPY105.20 the seems to be some short-covering pressure in front of JPY105. On the top side, the greenback is encountering offers...

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Rosier economy should boost Swiss housing market

In the rental market, the construction of apartments remains “at a very high level” in Switzerland, the Credit Suisse economists wrote. (Keystone) - Click to enlarge The economic upturn should drive demand for Swiss property after a period of record construction and lower rental prices, a survey claims. The improved economic situation should “revive demand in all segments” of the Swiss housing market,...

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Four Key Themes To Drive Gold Prices In 2018 – World Gold Council

– Four key themes to drive gold prices in 2018 – World Gold Council annual review– Monetary policies, frothy asset prices, global growth and demand and increasing market access important in 2018 – Weak US dollar in 2017 saw gold price up 13.5%, largest gain since 2010– “Strong gold price performance was a positive for investors and producers, and was symptomatic of a more profound shift in sentiment: a growing...

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China: February PMIs point to deceleration in industrial activity

China’s official manufacturing Purchasing Manager Index (PMI) for February, compiled by the National Bureau of Statistics of China and the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing, came in at 50.3, down from 51.3 in January and 51.6 in December 2017. This is the lowest reading of this gauge since October 2016. The Markit PMI (also known as the Caixin PMI), however, edged up slightly to 51.6 in February from 51.5 in...

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Emerging Markets: Week Ahead Preview

Stock Markets EM FX ended Friday on a mixed note, capping off a largely softer week.  Best performers last week for MYR and TWD while the worst were ZAR and ARS. US stocks clawed back early losses and ended the week on a firmer note but we think further market turbulence is likely. Stock Markets Emerging Markets, March 03 Source: economist.com - Click to enlarge Malaysia Malaysia reports January...

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FX Weekly Preview: Thumbnail Sketch Four Central Bank Meetings and US Jobs Data

The German Social Democrats have endorsed the Grand Coalition, ending the period of political uncertainty and paralysis in Germany since the last September’s election. The polls have suggested nearly 60% of the SPD would support joining the government and the actual outcome looks to be closer to 66%. In 2013, when the SPD had a similar vote, three-quarters favored a Grand Coalition. Among the differences is that the SPD...

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Europe – ECB preview

Market participants have enjoyed a protracted period of very low volatility, but it may well have come to an end in 2018. Central banks are often said to be responsible for the disappearance of volatility, for example through their large-scale asset purchases, which have compressed the term premium. But, now that the same central banks are heading for the exit from unconventional policies, they, too, need to relearn how...

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Jobless in Switzerland after 55 – most end up longterm unemployed

Age discrimination in the Swiss job market appears to be getting worse. Between 2010 and 2016, the number of over 55s on welfare increased by 50.5%, something that cannot be fully explained by an aging population. The population aged between 56 and 64 only increased by 11.6% over the same period. © Sarah2 | Dreamstime.com - Click to enlarge Across the total population the number on welfare rose by around 10%, a far...

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Average expat in Zurich earns more than $200,000

77% of expats in Zurich reported that their disposable income had increased since moving to Switzerland's largest city. (Keystone) - Click to enlarge Zurich and Geneva are among the top cities in the world for expat salaries, according to this year’s HSBC expat salary survey. The average expat can look forward to a pay packet of $206,875 (CHF191,960) in third-place Zurich and $184,942 in fifth-place...

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Data Distortions One Way Or Another

Back in October, we noted the likely coming of two important distortions in global economic data. The first was here at home in the form of Mother Nature. The other was over in China where Communist officials were gathering as they always do in their five-year intervals. That meant, potentially: In the US our economic data for a few months at least will be on shaky ground due to the lingering economic impacts of severe...

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