Introduction by George Dorgan My articles About meMy booksFollow on:TwitterFacebookGoogle +YoutubeSeeking AlphaCFA SocietyLinkedINEconomicBlogs Summary: Not only is Carney not resigning, but he agreed to stay a year longer than initially agreed. He will stay for the two years that Brexit is negotiated. Sterling rallied, but did not challenge last week’s highs. Marc Carney Bank of England - Click to...
Read More »FOMC Says Little New, December Hike Remains Likely Scenario
Introduction by George Dorgan My articles About meMy booksFollow on:TwitterFacebookGoogle +YoutubeSeeking AlphaCFA SocietyLinkedINEconomicBlogs Summary: Fed does not expand much on Sept. statement. Bar to December hike seems low. There were two rather than three dissents. FOMC - Click to enlarge The FOMC did not break new ground and the statement was as widely expected. It indicated that the case for...
Read More »Weekly Speculative Positions: Rising Net Short Euro and CHF, but Stronger Euro and CHF
The weekly speculative position shows increasing short positions on the euro and on the Swiss Franc. On the other side, both currencies have appreciated, what they should not do if net short positions increase. Therefore there is a different phenomenon. Real money, .e.g in the form of cash, bonds, stocks or real estate that is invested in the euro area or in Switzerland. For Switzerland, we will see this in the...
Read More »Sterling High Court Decision on Parliament’s Right to Vote on Brexit
Introduction by George Dorgan My articles About meMy booksFollow on:TwitterFacebookGoogle +YoutubeSeeking AlphaCFA SocietyLinkedINEconomicBlogs Summary: The UK High Court defends Parliament’s right to vote before Article 50 is triggered. The decision will be appealed. Sterling approached an important resistance as it extended its rally for the fifth session. The UK High Court ruled that Parliament has the...
Read More »FX Daily, November 04: US Jobs Figures: Another Time the Swiss Franc Strengthens
Comment on Swiss Franc by George Dorgan My articles About meMy booksFollow on:TwitterFacebookGoogle +YoutubeSeeking AlphaCFA SocietyLinkedINEconomicBlogs Swiss Franc With the not convincing U.S. jobs number, both the EUR and, in particular, the Swiss Franc could improve. With continuing political uncertainty in the U.S., more speculators closed their short CHF positions. Moreover, I expect significant...
Read More »Statistics on tourist accommodation in September 2016: Increase in overnight stays in September
Statistics on tourist accommodation in September 2016 Increase in overnight stays in September Neuchâtel, 04.11.2016 (FSO) – The Swiss hotel industry registered 3.4 million overnight stays in September 2016, which corresponds to a growth of 0.7% (+23,000 overnight stays) compared with September 2015. Domestic visitors registered 1.6 million overnight stays, i.e. an increase of 1.0% (+16,000). Foreign visitors...
Read More »SMI down as investors eye the US election
SMI The SMI is set to finish the week notably lower as investors continue to dump equities amid worries about the implications of next week’s US election, the trajectory of interest rates and mixed corporate earnings. SMI Index, November 4 - Click to enlarge Economic Data Until a week ago the market had confidently calculated a Clinton win but new FBI investigations appear to have put Trump firmly back in the...
Read More »Did Carney Really Open the Door to a Rate Hike?
Introduction by George Dorgan My articles About meMy booksFollow on:TwitterFacebookGoogle +YoutubeSeeking AlphaCFA SocietyLinkedINEconomicBlogs Summary: Sterling’s recovery began before today and went through technical levels that accelerated the advance. The interest rate market did not change sufficiently to indicate a change in policy expectations. The High Court decision will be appealed. Sterling...
Read More »How Swiss is the US electoral system?
The US electoral system may seem rather unique, but it actually has a lot in common with Switzerland’s brand of democracy. Here’s how they compare. The report is presented by swissinfo.ch’s Susan Misicka. The original video was produced by Arthur Honegger and Jonas Bayona of the online news service of Swiss public television, SRF. --- swissinfo.ch is the international branch of the Swiss Broadcasting Corporation (SBC). Its role is to report on Switzerland and to provide a Swiss perspective...
Read More »US Jobs Data Maintains Fed Hike Expectations
Introduction by George Dorgan My articles About meMy booksFollow on:TwitterFacebookGoogle +YoutubeSeeking AlphaCFA SocietyLinkedINEconomicBlogs Summary: US jobs data was largely in line or better than expected. The stronger earnings growth may be more important than the headline. Canada’s data was mostly disappointing. The US October jobs report as a whole was in line with expectations, and suggests a...
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