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Tag Archives: newsletter

Time Preference Is the Key Driver of Interest Rates

By popular thinking, whenever the central bank raises the growth rate of the money supply through the buying of financial assets such as Treasuries this pushes the prices of Treasuries higher and their yields lower. This is labeled as the monetary liquidity effect. This effect is inversely correlated with interest rates. Furthermore, an increase in the money supply after a time lag strengthens economic activity and this pushes interest rates higher. Note that we have...

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Swiss banks spend more on online advertising but lag in AI

read aloud pause X Retail banks have increased investment in digital marketing by 16% in a bid to attract younger clients.  Share Facebook Twitter E-mail Print Copy link In 2023, budgeted sums in this segment will total CHF 47.6 million ($52.8 million), up 16% on last year, according to an estimate by Colombus Consulting in its study on the digitalisation of the customer experience, published on Thursday.UBS, Postfinance and Raiffeisen...

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Food Prices Drive China’s CPI Lower while the Greenback is Mostly Firmer in Narrow Ranges

Overview: The dollar is mostly firmer against the G10 currencies and has been confined to tight ranges through the European morning. Outside of the China's deflation and Japan's monthly portfolio flow data that showed Japanese investors bought the most amount of US Treasuries (~$22 bln) in six months in September, the news stream is light. Most emerging market currencies are trading with a softer bias today. The Philippine peso is the strongest among the emerging...

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Statist Ideology and War: Israel versus Hamas

As I wrote in my previous piece on statism and the Israel-Hamas conflict, states are organized crime rackets. Wars between states thus represent warfare between rival gangs. The proper libertarian position with reference to such gang wars is neutrality, or the opposition to all state parties to war. Neutrality includes opposition to interventionism, including opposition to sending arms and aid to other nations. Foreign aid increases the tax aggression on the...

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Macro: Banking: Senior Loan Officer’s Survey and Lending

Banks continue to tighten lending standards across all sectors. This has eased a bit from the July survey. Banks continue to widen spreads across all sectors. The percentage of banks widening spreads has also eased a tad. Banks are not seeing increasing demand for loans. I’m just posting survey results for C&I loans, the graph is very similar for commercial real estate, residential real estate and consumer loans. Commercial and Industrial loan growth has...

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The Oil Price-Stock Market Connection, the 100 Year Financial Cycle, and the Next Crash

Recorded at the Mises Circle in Fort Myers, Florida, 4 November 2023. Special thanks to Murray and Florence M. Sabrin for making this event possible. The Oil Price-Stock Market Connection, 100 Year Financial Cycle, and the Next Crash | Murray Sabrin Video of The Oil Price-Stock Market Connection, 100 Year Financial Cycle, and the Next Crash | Murray Sabrin [embedded content]...

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The Radical Uncertainty of a Polymorphic Fed

Recorded at the Mises Circle in Fort Myers, Florida, 4 November 2023. Includes audience question and answer period.  Special thanks to Murray and Florence M. Sabrin for making this event possible. The Radical Uncertainty of a Polymorphic Fed | Jonathan Newman Video of The Radical Uncertainty of a Polymorphic Fed | Jonathan Newman [embedded content]...

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